2025 SPA Invitational

Unrated Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 8:45 AM

Macalester Field House - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HOWLAND Jonas - - - 2% 20% 78%
2 LOCKWOOD Jacob - - 3% 28% 69%
3 TAN Xinlai - - - 2% 18% 80%
4 GARSKE James - 2% 14% 41% 37% 5%
5 NAIDL Josiah - 4% 37% 59%
6 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 7% 35% 58%
7 LINEBERRY Caden 3% 26% 57% 13% < 1%
8 MENASCO Juliun - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
9 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson - - 4% 27% 59% 10%
10 RUBY Asher 12% 37% 37% 13% 1%
11 MARTIN Wesley 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
12 GLOVER George - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
13 DIFRANK Tae 8% 40% 44% 8%
14 BERSCHEID Arthur - 6% 35% 58%
15 ZINSER Jamie - - 3% 27% 69%
16 HASHMI Mushaf 2% 18% 43% 32% 4%
17 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 7% 28% 38% 22% 5%
18 DRAWZ Chase - 7% 34% 49% 9%
19 DING Zilin - 3% 16% 42% 37% 3%
20 FEEHAN Conor 22% 44% 27% 6% < 1% -
21 NEELIMANDHU Sahil 14% 39% 35% 11% 1%
22 AHNEMANN Leif - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
23 HOKANSON Braddock 20% 47% 29% 3% -
24 JARCHO Beckett 1% 20% 56% 23%
25 ZHANG Alexander 5% 26% 45% 22% 2% -
26 PETERSON Quinn 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
27 BURCHILL Carter - - 3% 50% 47%
28 MOGENSEN Ezra 51% 40% 9% -
29 HUANG Kai 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% 1%
30 BASTODKAR Ved 14% 41% 35% 10% 1%
31 IBARRA Alejandro 2% 17% 44% 33% 4%
32 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 10% 34% 39% 16% 1%
33 CAPERS Hunter 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
34 POLYZOIS Alkis 40% 44% 14% 1% -
35 YATES Graeme 15% 47% 31% 7% - -
36 YANG Haopeng - 6% 28% 44% 22%
37 BELL Andrew 11% 35% 38% 15% 1%
37 CHRISTENSEN Jack 13% 44% 36% 7%
39 FANG Ethan 18% 46% 30% 6% -
41 ANDERSON Norse 6% 30% 45% 18% 1%
42 KRUEGER Benjamin - 7% 33% 41% 17% 2%
43 FERRARA Asher 4% 26% 43% 22% 4% -
44 BEDARD Bennett 14% 49% 31% 6% -
45 UNGLAUB Maxwell 46% 41% 12% 1% -
46 ROY Griffin 6% 29% 41% 21% 2% -
47 BAUER Elijah 1% 17% 43% 33% 7%
48 STELLPFLUG Zachary 11% 61% 26% 2%
49 SUNDSBAK Evan 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
50 WANG Allan - - 4% 21% 46% 28%
51 CRUZ Cole 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
53 BOMGARDNER Ben 76% 22% 1% -
54 BALDERES Gavin 15% 48% 31% 6% -
55 PEICHEL Joshua 1% 17% 40% 32% 9%
56 BERCHENKO Zachary 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
57 CASEY Liam 21% 49% 26% 4% - -
57 WINTERS Linus 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
59 ZERR Daemin 2% 12% 32% 37% 17% 1%
60 AHRENS Declan 1% 18% 40% 32% 9% -
62 ENGLERT Brayden < 1% 5% 22% 40% 26% 5%
64 KOTCH Brodie 11% 44% 35% 9% 1% -
65 SKIBELL Cyrus 43% 44% 12% 1% -
66 THOMAS Asher - 2% 18% 58% 20% 2%
67 FREEMAN Julian 2% 19% 42% 30% 7%
68 CARDIN Harvey 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
70 LIMKE Sean 1% 17% 40% 33% 9%
71 PERRY Eli 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
73 WEED Matthew 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
74 BUTLER Aurelius 33% 42% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.