2025 SPA Invitational

Unrated Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Macalester Field House - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANG Marian 100% 100% 94% 62% 11%
2 SHELTON Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
4 BULLARD Sydney 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
5 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
6 WYATT Stella 100% 77% 30% 4%
7 LI Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
8 SHUSTA Lily 100% 86% 42% 6%
9 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
10 KRONZER Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
11 JERNEY Agustina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
12 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 93% 58% 15% 1%
13 RIES Celina 100% 99% 88% 49% 4%
14 WOERTER Therese 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3% -
15 UTIN Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
16 SKJEI Josephine 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
18 CHANDLER Annika 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
19 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
21 RANGARAJAN Saanvi 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
22 TYMCHUCK Athena 100% 88% 47% 10% -
23 PHINGPHA Avarie 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
24 HSIA Sarah 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
24 PETERSON Penelope 100% 53% 12% 1% -
28 KOLPIN Elise 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
29 GÄG Tehya 100% 56% 14% 1% -
30 KIDDER Alexie 100% 96% 70% 23%
32 TELCI Arya 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
33 MOHAMED Sara 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
34 WAGNER Mayce 100% 94% 59% 14%
35 SHORT Griffin 100% 99% 87% 45% 7%
37 KIDDER Aurelia 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
38 EPSTEIN Alexandra 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
41 YANG Ziwen 100% 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
41 KIM Annika 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.