21st Annual Will Fence For Food & 2025 FenceAthlon

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRIER Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 HANSEN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
3 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
5 LITTLE Alex 100% 100% 92% 52% 13% 1%
6 MADSEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 60% 3%
7 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
8 DELISLE Jonas 100% 100% 99% 90% 49% 4%
9 WALLAK Jesse 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
10 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 17%
11 GAN Shelby 100% 97% 59% 17% 2% -
12 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 95% 70% 24% 1%
13 HAWS Michael 100% 100% 94% 42% 8% 1%
14 HENDRICKS Ron 100% 100% 89% 48% 11% -
15 DAVIDSON James 100% 71% 3% - - -
16 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
17 KIRKHAM Matthew 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
18 RIGBY Ellie 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
19 PADDOCK Hannah 100% 97% 63% 7% - -
20 SEAL Ayda 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
21 GARRISON Shawn 100% 58% 12% 1% - -
22 MORGAN William 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
23 AMIN Eli 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
24 BURNIER Pierre 100% 64% 11% 1% - -
25 RALSTON Katy 100% 75% 24% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.