21st Annual Will Fence For Food & 2025 FenceAthlon

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MADSEN Eric 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
2 DELISLE Jonas 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 13%
3 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
3 LITTLE Alex 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
5 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 FERGUSON Jason 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
7 WHITESIDES Abby 100% 100% 100% 90% 33%
8 TERP Lucy 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
9 RIGBY Ellie 100% 99% 71% 18% 1%
10 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 92% 62% 22% 2%
11 WALLAK Jesse 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
12 HAGUE-SMITH Rhys 100% 69% 23% 3% -
13 SEAL Ayda 100% 98% 58% 14% -
14 HAWS Michael 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
15 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 95% 67% 26% 3%
16 WARD Kellon 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
17 DITTMER Westin 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
18 ORTIZ Justen 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
19 ROBERTS Jaren 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
20 KIRKHAM Brennan 100% 97% 72% 28% 4%
21 STROMNESS Erik Carter 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
22 TONIOLLI Owen 100% 11% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.