21st Annual Will Fence For Food & 2025 FenceAthlon

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MADSEN Eric 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
2 DELISLE Jonas - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
3 THOMSON Hyrum 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
3 LITTLE Alex 13% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
5 JEFFERY Jakob - 1% 11% 39% 48%
6 FERGUSON Jason 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
7 WHITESIDES Abby - - 9% 57% 33%
8 TERP Lucy 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
9 RIGBY Ellie 1% 28% 53% 17% 1%
10 MERRIAM Isaiah 8% 30% 40% 20% 2%
11 WALLAK Jesse 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
12 HAGUE-SMITH Rhys 31% 46% 20% 3% -
13 SEAL Ayda 2% 40% 44% 13% -
14 HAWS Michael 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
15 FERGUSON Aliya 5% 28% 41% 22% 3%
16 WARD Kellon 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
17 DITTMER Westin - 3% 20% 45% 32%
18 ORTIZ Justen - 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
19 ROBERTS Jaren 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
20 KIRKHAM Brennan 3% 25% 44% 24% 4%
21 STROMNESS Erik Carter 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
22 TONIOLLI Owen 89% 10% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.