December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, December 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
5 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
6 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
7 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
8 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
9 LI Brian H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
10 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
11 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
12 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
13 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
14 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
15 KNODT Julian P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
16 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
17 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
18 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
19 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
20 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
21 HAN YIMING 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
22 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
23 HU Oliver W. 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1% -
24 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 2%
25 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
26 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
27 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
28 SHIH William 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
29 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
30 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
31 DORITY Philip S. 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
32 OURSLER Jack 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3% -
33 LIU Niles J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
34 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15% 1%
35 ROSOWSKY Ahmed 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 4% -
36 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
37 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 94% 68% 31% 6% -
38 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
39 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6% -
40 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
41 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
42 BAE Anthony 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
43 YU Vinni 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
44 TIERNEY David A. 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
44 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
46 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
47 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 18%
48 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
48 YANG Andy H. 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
50 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
51 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
51 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
53 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
54 OH Samuel H. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
55 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
56 JANG Jaewon 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
57 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
58 LEVY Jasper 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
59 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
60 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
61 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
62 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
63 KIM Brandon J. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% - -
64 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
65 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
66 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
67 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
68 MA Alexander 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
69 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3% -
70 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 4% -
71 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
72 TAQI Ahmad F. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
73 MOHAMMAD Abdulwahab 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
74 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 91% 45% 10% 1% - -
74 GAUDET Paul D. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
76 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
77 DIERKS Kian 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
78 ADLER David R. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
79 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
80 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
81 WU Albert 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
82 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
83 KELLY William J. 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
84 LI Raphael C. 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
85 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
86 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
86 JAUME Andrei 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
86 LIM Ari 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
89 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
90 HSIUNG Richie 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
91 ANDERSON David C. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
92 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 98% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
93 KIM Ian M. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
94 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
95 PAEK Alex J. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
95 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
97 MAO Connor 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
98 KIM Aaron J. 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
99 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.