December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, December 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 MATHIEU Adam - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
5 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
6 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
7 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
8 HODGES Carter F. - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
9 LI Brian H. - - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
10 KANESHIGE Brian K. - - - 3% 17% 46% 35%
11 PAIK Joon K. - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20%
12 BRAVO Kenji U. - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
13 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
14 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. - - - 4% 27% 69%
15 KNODT Julian P. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
16 ZHANG Daniel D. 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
17 LI Brandon H. - - 2% 12% 37% 41% 8%
18 LUTAR Lucas N. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
19 KIM Nicholas W. 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1%
20 KUCEBA Vitalijs - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
21 HAN YIMING - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
22 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7%
23 HU Oliver W. 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
24 JOHNSON Aidan J. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 2%
25 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
26 ARCHER Kristjan 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
27 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
28 SHIH William 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
29 REID Clayton J. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
30 PARK Luke J. - 2% 14% 38% 33% 11% 1%
31 DORITY Philip S. 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
32 OURSLER Jack 1% 7% 29% 41% 19% 3% -
33 LIU Niles J. 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
34 KATAYAMA Kevin - 1% 10% 33% 41% 14% 1%
35 ROSOWSKY Ahmed - 2% 17% 44% 32% 4% -
36 TULYAG Fyze A. 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
37 KAISER Hans Z. 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
38 ZUSIN Zachary W. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
39 ZENG Lucas H. - 5% 22% 40% 26% 6% -
40 XIAO Enoch A. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
41 PAIK Hyun K. - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
42 BAE Anthony - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
43 YU Vinni - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
44 TIERNEY David A. 6% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
44 XIAO Ethan J. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
46 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
47 BOURTIS James S. - - - 5% 27% 50% 18%
48 HUANG Bin - - - 4% 21% 48% 27%
48 YANG Andy H. 5% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
50 YU Eric W. - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
51 ORTS Lucas E. - - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
51 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
53 STREB JR. Joseph T. 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
54 OH Samuel H. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
55 PARKINS Benjamin B. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
56 JANG Jaewon 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
57 GRIFFIN John O. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
58 LEVY Jasper 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
59 BERMENDER Cameron 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
60 GORDON-SAND Spencer 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
61 HOOSHI Dylan M. 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
62 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
63 KIM Brandon J. 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
64 HOLMES Andrew E. - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
65 DICKSON Farr R. 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
66 HOLMES Stuart S. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
67 PELOSKY Ryan F. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
68 MA Alexander 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
69 LEVY Jacob M. 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
70 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 7% 27% 41% 20% 4% -
71 CHENG Thomas C. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
72 TAQI Ahmad F. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
73 MOHAMMAD Abdulwahab 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
74 DESAI Nalin H. 9% 46% 35% 9% 1% - -
74 GAUDET Paul D. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
76 KIM Isaiah G. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
77 DIERKS Kian 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
78 ADLER David R. 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
79 LEE Benjamin H. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
80 ANDREWS Nathan J. 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
81 WU Albert 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
82 SPEVAK Alexander 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
83 KELLY William J. 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
84 LI Raphael C. 12% 43% 34% 10% 1% - -
85 FARQUHARSON Cole 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
86 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
86 JAUME Andrei 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
86 LIM Ari 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
89 VANNI Filippo A. 6% 31% 38% 20% 4% - -
90 HSIUNG Richie 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
91 ANDERSON David C. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
92 GRIFFITH JACK 2% 21% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
93 KIM Ian M. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
94 URODOVSKIKH Evan 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
95 PAEK Alex J. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
95 ZHAO Jason L. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
97 MAO Connor 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
98 KIM Aaron J. 19% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
99 STURGIS Zachary C. 68% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.