Sword in the Cake

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 LEE Ian - - 4% 28% 67%
2 EDWARDS Connor - 6% 26% 46% 22%
3 NAZARIO Dominic 1% 17% 50% 32%
3 VARRE Rishi 1% 14% 41% 35% 9%
5 GREEN Zachary J. - - 4% 29% 67%
6 KNIBBE Nathan - 2% 18% 45% 34%
7 BASS Nathan 2% 17% 40% 33% 7%
8 GOGOI Kavi 9% 32% 40% 18% 2%
9 GIBSON Ammon 1% 12% 43% 41% 3%
10 MICK Gabriel 6% 44% 41% 9%
11 SOMERLOTT Logan 2% 23% 47% 27%
12 STONE Sydney 9% 44% 38% 8% -
13 THEKKEL Jonathan 20% 57% 21% 2% -
14 OWENS Carrie M. 36% 43% 18% 3% -
15 STEMLER Tyler 5% 29% 44% 21% 2%
16 NANU Ava 25% 45% 25% 4% -
17 JACOBS Matthew 59% 35% 6% - -
19 SOMERFORD Alex 9% 33% 39% 17% 2%
19 MANKEL Kyleigh 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
21 PERRIN Emma 42% 42% 14% 2% -
22 GIBSON Samuel 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
23 NACLERIO Umberto Francesco 1% 15% 49% 31% 5%
24 FLOYD John < 1% 23% 48% 26% 3%
25 PEREZ Breanna 68% 28% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.