Sword in the Cake

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 LEE Ian 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
3 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 99% 82% 32%
3 VARRE Rishi 100% 99% 86% 44% 9%
5 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 100% 98% 79% 34%
7 BASS Nathan 100% 98% 80% 40% 7%
8 GOGOI Kavi 100% 91% 60% 20% 2%
9 GIBSON Ammon 100% 99% 87% 44% 3%
10 MICK Gabriel 100% 94% 50% 9%
11 SOMERLOTT Logan 100% 98% 74% 27%
12 STONE Sydney 100% 91% 47% 9% -
13 THEKKEL Jonathan 100% 80% 23% 3% -
14 OWENS Carrie M. 100% 64% 21% 3% -
15 STEMLER Tyler 100% 95% 66% 23% 2%
16 NANU Ava 100% 75% 30% 5% -
17 JACOBS Matthew 100% 41% 6% - -
19 SOMERFORD Alex 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
19 MANKEL Kyleigh 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
21 PERRIN Emma 100% 58% 16% 2% -
22 GIBSON Samuel 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
23 NACLERIO Umberto Francesco 100% 99% 84% 36% 5%
24 FLOYD John 100% 100% 77% 29% 3%
25 PEREZ Breanna 100% 32% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.