Older Man Winter

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 9:30 AM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HADLER David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 CLICK Tristan 100% 99% 80% 37% 6% -
3 MILES Greyson 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
5 OWENS elise 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
6 GADOW Patrick 100% 94% 67% 24% 1%
7 TAMIR Esu 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 POPOVIC Leo 100% 98% 78% 37% 7%
9 SPELL Kayla 100% 85% 44% 10% 1%
10 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% -
11 CANADY Isaac 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
12 KUBE Lily 100% 92% 60% 21% 2%
13 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
14 CULLITON Colton 100% 99% 86% 45% 9% -
15 FLYNN Oliver 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
16 KARNAVAS William 100% 100% 86% 47% 10% -
17 STEWART Ivey 100% 80% 37% 7% -
18 REBER Eleanora (Nora) A. 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
19 DAVIS Walter 100% 65% 20% 2% -
20 DAVIS Thoren 100% 16% 1% - - -
21 SALKIND Edward M. 100% 84% 43% 9% -
22 COUEY Brianne 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.