Bloody Winter Wonderland at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 11:30 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLEY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
2 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 JOBE Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
3 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
5 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
6 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
7 DONG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 88% 46% 9%
8 MCNARY Sean 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
9 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 11%
10 GUSKA Jenn 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
11 COLEMAN Corey 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 MAI Carl D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
13 MILLER Zach 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
14 FUCHS Robert 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
15 LEWTON Grace 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
16 BOGGESS Alexander 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
17 HUCULAK Eerik 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
18 MCNARY Ross 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
19 LONG Erika 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
20 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
21 CHATLOS Allison 100% 98% 60% 13% 1% -
22 REEN Stephen 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
23 DAVIS Ethan 100% 71% 24% 4% - -
24 YORKE Evan 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
25 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
26 BATES Madison 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
27 PIERCE Marcia M. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
28 FREDERICK Ben 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
29 CRAFT David M. 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
30 DALES Finn 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
31 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 86% 29% 4% - -
32 JOBE Liam 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.