Bloody Winter Wonderland at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 11:30 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLEY Matthew - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
2 EVERT Todd - - 5% 20% 42% 32%
3 JOBE Connor - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
3 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian - 1% 7% 30% 44% 19%
5 DAVIS Jennifer 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
6 EDWARDS Tim - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
7 DONG Joshua - 1% 11% 41% 37% 9%
8 MCNARY Sean 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
9 BETTS Jr Anthony P. - - 1% 10% 33% 45% 11%
10 GUSKA Jenn 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
11 COLEMAN Corey 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
12 MAI Carl D. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
13 MILLER Zach - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
14 FUCHS Robert 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
15 LEWTON Grace - 4% 20% 40% 31% 7%
16 BOGGESS Alexander 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
17 HUCULAK Eerik 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
18 MCNARY Ross 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
19 LONG Erika - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 STAUBITZ Marc 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
21 CHATLOS Allison 2% 38% 47% 12% 1% -
22 REEN Stephen 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
23 DAVIS Ethan 29% 47% 20% 3% - -
24 YORKE Evan 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
25 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
26 BATES Madison 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
27 PIERCE Marcia M. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
28 FREDERICK Ben 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
29 CRAFT David M. 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% -
30 DALES Finn 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
31 BRETHAUER Adah 14% 57% 25% 4% - -
32 JOBE Liam 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.