Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
2 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 20%
6 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
7 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
8 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
9 KAVZAN Duru 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
10 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
11 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
12 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
13 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
14 KO Ariel 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
15 LAI Karen 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
16 OEI Allyson 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
17 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
18 WANG Chloe 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
19 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
20 MENON Maya 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
21 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
22 SARATH Sana 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
23 POWERS Waverly 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
24 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
25 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% -
26 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
27 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
28 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
29 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
30 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
31 YI Victoria 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
32 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 97% 83% 55% 24% 6% 1%
33 HU Heidi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
34 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 17%
35 WANG Emily 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
36 OLSON Olivia 100% 100% 99% 96% 79% 46% 12%
37 VARAH Alaia 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
38 KIM Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
39 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
40 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
41 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
42 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
43 YIN Xizi 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
44 QIU Abigail 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
45 LAU Angela 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
46 LIU Stephanie 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
47 MOFFITT Charlotte 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
48 NARRELL Olive 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
49 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
50 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
51 PIÑOL Annika 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
52 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
53 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
54 WEI Levana 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
55 WU Jing 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
56 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
57 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
58 LEE Elise 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
59 ONG Katherine 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
60 CHANG Grace 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
61 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
62 WILLER Anna 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
63 YAO Elizabeth 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
64 HU Emily 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
65 RADELL Zoe 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
66 SMITH Genevieve 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
67 WANG Keira 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
68 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
69 LI Gloria 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
70 CHANG Kelly 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
71 FLORY Gaia 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
72 ATA Emily 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
73 BENNETT Eloise 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
74 KONDE Anika 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
75 GU Allison 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
76 FREY Elise 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
77 GAO Anita 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% -
78 WANG Selina 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
79 ZHANG Shihan 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 5% 1%
79 LIANG Katherine 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
81 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
82 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
83 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
84 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
85 PARRA Luciana 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
86 PETACCHI Lorena 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
87 DU Jessica 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
88 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
89 MCCABE Ashley 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
90 TOPALOV Julia 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
91 SON Ellie 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
92 RAZIANO Collins 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
92 JIN Ailin 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
94 DY Azurie 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
95 BRAUN Victoria 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
96 CAO Amanda 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
96 ZHANG Elyna 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.