Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
2 CHOI Charlotte - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 ZHANG Ashley - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
3 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 5% 31% 63%
5 HEATH Isabella - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
6 YANG Felicia - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
7 GONG Joy - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
8 XU Elaine - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
9 KAVZAN Duru - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
10 NEMORIN Rei - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
11 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
12 KATZ Emma - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
13 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
14 KO Ariel - 4% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
15 LAI Karen - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 6%
16 OEI Allyson - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
17 JOHN Sophia - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
18 WANG Chloe 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
19 PEREIRA Izumi - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
20 MENON Maya - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
21 CHAU Zoey - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
22 SARATH Sana 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
23 POWERS Waverly 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
24 MALUKI Nia - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
25 CANARAN Daphne M. 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% -
26 YE Isabella - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
27 IORDANOVA Vela 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
28 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
29 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
30 DANIELS Jordanna - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
31 YI Victoria 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
32 KABILING Anika Von Marie 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
33 HU Heidi - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
34 ZHAO Selena - - 3% 14% 30% 35% 17%
35 WANG Emily 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
36 OLSON Olivia - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
37 VARAH Alaia 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
38 KIM Grace - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 12%
39 LI Tiffany - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
40 CHEN Chloe - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
41 TSIPORUKHA Arie - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
42 YOUNG Sienna - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
43 YIN Xizi 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
44 QIU Abigail 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
45 LAU Angela 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
46 LIU Stephanie 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
47 MOFFITT Charlotte 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
48 NARRELL Olive 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
49 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
50 MULHERN Eleanor - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
51 PIÑOL Annika 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
52 MAJEWSKA Maria 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
53 PATEL Maia - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
54 WEI Levana - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
55 WU Jing 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
56 SOUTHWELL Mia 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
57 ARGUELLO Camilla 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
58 LEE Elise 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
59 ONG Katherine 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
60 CHANG Grace 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
61 KARAVAS Lucy 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
62 WILLER Anna 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
63 YAO Elizabeth 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
64 HU Emily 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
65 RADELL Zoe 10% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
66 SMITH Genevieve 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
67 WANG Keira 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
68 LIU Alyssa - 2% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3%
69 LI Gloria 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
70 CHANG Kelly 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
71 FLORY Gaia - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
72 ATA Emily 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
73 BENNETT Eloise 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
74 KONDE Anika 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
75 GU Allison 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
76 FREY Elise 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
77 GAO Anita 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
78 WANG Selina 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
79 ZHANG Shihan 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
79 LIANG Katherine 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
81 LAMTAN Trinity - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
82 MAZZURCO Marin 9% 33% 38% 16% 3% - -
83 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 6% 26% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
84 MACHIRAJU Ishita 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
85 PARRA Luciana 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
86 PETACCHI Lorena 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
87 DU Jessica 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
88 ARANGO Ivanna 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
89 MCCABE Ashley 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
90 TOPALOV Julia 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
91 SON Ellie 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
92 RAZIANO Collins 42% 40% 15% 2% - - -
92 JIN Ailin 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
94 DY Azurie 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
95 BRAUN Victoria 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
96 CAO Amanda 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
96 ZHANG Elyna 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.