Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
2 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
3 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
5 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
7 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
8 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
9 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
10 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
11 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
12 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
12 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
14 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
15 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
16 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
17 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
18 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
19 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
20 LI Huangziyue 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
22 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
23 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
24 WONG Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
25 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
26 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
27 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
28 SANTIAGO Roman 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
29 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
30 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
31 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
32 SUH Leo 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
33 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
34 HU Harry 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
34 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
36 LIN Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
37 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
38 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
39 IYER Neil 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
40 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
41 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
42 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
43 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
44 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
45 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 9%
46 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 31%
47 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
48 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
49 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
50 PAUL James 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
51 YU Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
51 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
53 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
54 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
55 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
55 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
57 CRAWFORD William 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
58 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
59 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
60 SAGE Nikolai 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
61 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
62 JAVIER Xavier 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
63 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
64 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
65 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
66 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
67 MANNINO Miller 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
68 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
69 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
70 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
71 BROOKS Theo 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
72 MELE Gianni 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
73 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
74 BUKZIN Alan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
75 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
76 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 4%
77 YANG LOUIS 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
78 WAXLER Alex 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
78 WOMACK Theodore 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
80 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
81 ZHANG Aiden 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
82 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
83 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
84 TRZEPLA Max 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
85 LYU Tyler 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
86 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
87 GAMELIN DESJARDINS Etienne 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
88 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
88 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
90 KAMURA Kosei 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
91 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
92 FREILICH Harrison 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
92 LUAN Stephen 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
94 WONG Reagan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
95 LEMERY Marc 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
96 OREN Daniel 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
97 HE Nolan 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
97 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
99 YANG Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
100 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 91% 60% 24% 4% -
101 ZHANG Weihang 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% - -
102 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
103 TANJGA Luka 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
104 WU Vincent 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
105 MENZIES Liam 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
106 LEE Damian 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
107 SUN Stephen 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
108 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
109 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
110 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
111 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
112 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
113 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
114 CHEN Anson 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
115 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
116 KUANG Cyrus 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
117 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
118 GU Dean 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
119 PICORY Simon 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
120 PIPKE Garrett 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
120 HUANG Anthony 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
122 LI Michael 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
123 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
124 XU Shenghang 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
125 TAKEBE Ren 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
126 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
127 ZHANG Caleb 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
127 LI Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
129 MOON Noah 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
130 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
131 LIEU Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
131 LU Simon 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
133 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 96% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
134 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
135 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
136 LI Lucas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
137 YU Ronen 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
138 FOUX Jonathan 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
139 BROOKS Isaac 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
140 SHI-DAI Olivier 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
141 SONG Jerry 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
142 KANE Kiran 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
143 LEE Jeffrey 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
144 LEE Ivan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
145 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
145 LIU lishun 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
147 EARLEY Jack 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% - -
148 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
149 YEAZEL Colin 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
150 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
151 JIN Yubo 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
152 NG Oliver 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
153 CHEN Tim 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1% -
154 POLSANI Gaurav 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
155 WANG Ziyao 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
156 BAHNIK Christian 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
157 HE zhixuan 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
158 ZHIVICH Theodore 100% 85% 46% 12% 2% - -
159 FAVO Christopher 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
159 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
161 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
162 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
163 LI Kent 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
164 DAI Ethan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
165 DONNELL Cillian 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
166 SHEN Alaric 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
166 REIFKE Clive 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
168 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 34% 5% - - - -
168 WANG Mason 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
170 LIU Nico 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
171 LEE Ezra 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
171 CURTIS Kevin 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
173 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
173 VISH Manyu 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
175 WEI Hunter 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
176 ABREU ACKER Joaquin 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
176 DY Azriel 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
176 ZHANG Simon 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
176 TEPLESKY Sasha 100% 33% 4% - - - -
180 HAYNES Kyri 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1% -
181 KANG Jayden 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
182 NORTON Hudson 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.