Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Rian - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
2 KITSON Chase - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
3 BIVIJI Ali - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
5 YU BOWEN - - - 1% 10% 45% 44%
7 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
8 FENG Brendan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
9 ANAND Rishab - - 1% 9% 30% 44% 15%
10 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
11 SALDARINI Glenn - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
12 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
12 BOLLU Viren - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
14 HE Zhikai (kyle) - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
15 CLARK Aram - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
16 BIVIJI Adam - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 3%
17 SRIVATS Vedh - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
18 KOZLOFF Wyatt - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
19 ZHANG Kaixuan - - - - 6% 33% 60%
20 LI Huangziyue - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
21 KOZLOV Lucas - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
22 RINALDI Savio - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
23 LIU Victor - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
24 WONG Max - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
25 HU Jayden - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
26 SLAVNOV Anton - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 2%
27 BADMUS Joshua - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
28 SANTIAGO Roman 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
29 ZWAKA Jonas - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
30 MIAO Heqi - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
31 DAI Zihou - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
32 SUH Leo 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
33 BAI Evan - - - 5% 20% 42% 32%
34 HU Harry - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
34 VALENCIA Jose - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
36 LIN Alex - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
37 BARENBOYM Michael - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
38 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
39 IYER Neil - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
40 LIU Ethan - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
41 LAMTAN Christoffer - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
42 LIU Ryan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
43 LUCAS William - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
44 MERMEGAS Alexander - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
45 SALMAN Hamzah - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
46 MCDONALD Finn - - - 2% 15% 52% 31%
47 LIEBOWITZ Carson - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
48 LEVIN Jacob - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
49 OH Aster - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
50 PAUL James 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
51 YU Ian - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
51 JI Johnson - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
53 LIN Brendan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
54 PERRIN Leo - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
55 BURENKOV Matthew 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
55 LIU Jayden 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
57 CRAWFORD William 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
58 JOHNSON Leland - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
59 AVERY Marcus - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
60 SAGE Nikolai 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
61 LIANG Morgan - - 3% 17% 40% 33% 6%
62 JAVIER Xavier 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
63 CHAWLA Abhishek 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
64 KOHLER Vaughn 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
65 LIU Aaron - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
66 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5% -
67 MANNINO Miller - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
68 ONG Dylan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
69 TITOV Zachary 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% -
70 CHANG Timothy - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
71 BROOKS Theo 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
72 MELE Gianni 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
73 KAUL Ishaan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 3%
74 BUKZIN Alan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
75 HENDERSON Louis - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
76 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 5% 22% 41% 27% 4%
77 YANG LOUIS 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
78 WAXLER Alex 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
78 WOMACK Theodore 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
80 SONG Aidan - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
81 ZHANG Aiden 2% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
82 LAU Kyrus - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
83 LIAO Sirui - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
84 TRZEPLA Max 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
85 LYU Tyler 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
86 CHANG Ethan - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 3%
87 GAMELIN DESJARDINS Etienne - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
88 KARAVAS Nicholas - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
88 LEVY Daniel - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
90 KAMURA Kosei 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
91 BROOKS Drake 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
92 FREILICH Harrison 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
92 LUAN Stephen - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
94 WONG Reagan 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
95 LEMERY Marc 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
96 OREN Daniel 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
97 HE Nolan 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2% -
97 SHANKAR Rahm 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
99 YANG Justin - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
100 BENNETT Lachlan 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
101 ZHANG Weihang 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% - -
102 WANG Theodore - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
103 TANJGA Luka 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
104 WU Vincent 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
105 MENZIES Liam 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
106 LEE Damian - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
107 SUN Stephen 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
108 SAYAR Luke 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
109 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 12%
110 BONGIORNO Wesley 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
111 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
112 STOLCKE Julian - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
113 HOWERTON Beckett 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
114 CHEN Anson 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
115 LEE Brendan - 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
116 KUANG Cyrus 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
117 PADANILAM Thomas 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
118 GU Dean 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
119 PICORY Simon - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
120 PIPKE Garrett 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
120 HUANG Anthony 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
122 LI Michael - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
123 BEAL Colton - 3% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2%
124 XU Shenghang 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
125 TAKEBE Ren 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1%
126 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
127 ZHANG Caleb 20% 38% 29% 10% 2% - -
127 LI Andrew - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
129 MOON Noah 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
130 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
131 LIEU Nicholas - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
131 LU Simon 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
133 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
134 SUN Ryan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
135 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
136 LI Lucas 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
137 YU Ronen 6% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
138 FOUX Jonathan 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
139 BROOKS Isaac 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
140 SHI-DAI Olivier - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
141 SONG Jerry 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
142 KANE Kiran 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
143 LEE Jeffrey 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
144 LEE Ivan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
145 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
145 LIU lishun - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
147 EARLEY Jack 6% 37% 38% 15% 3% - -
148 HUA George (Hanxun) 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
149 YEAZEL Colin 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
150 HEIMOV Brennan 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
151 JIN Yubo 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
152 NG Oliver - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
153 CHEN Tim 1% 15% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
154 POLSANI Gaurav 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
155 WANG Ziyao 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
156 BAHNIK Christian - 3% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
157 HE zhixuan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
158 ZHIVICH Theodore 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
159 FAVO Christopher 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
159 PROSPER Nathaniel 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
161 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
162 BURCH III Andrew J. 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
163 LI Kent 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
164 DAI Ethan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
165 DONNELL Cillian 6% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
166 SHEN Alaric 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
166 REIFKE Clive 2% 21% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
168 HUANG KIMBALL 66% 29% 5% - - - -
168 WANG Mason 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
170 LIU Nico 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
171 LEE Ezra 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
171 CURTIS Kevin 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
173 CAO HAOTIAN 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
173 VISH Manyu 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
175 WEI Hunter 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
176 ABREU ACKER Joaquin 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
176 DY Azriel 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
176 ZHANG Simon 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
176 TEPLESKY Sasha 67% 28% 4% - - - -
180 HAYNES Kyri 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% - -
181 KANG Jayden 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
182 NORTON Hudson 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.