December NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
3 HURLEY Kelley A. - - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
3 WASHINGTON Isis - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 BASSA Francesca A. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
6 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - 1% 6% 25% 44% 26%
7 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
8 GUO ZI SHAN - - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 26% 28% 17% 4%
9 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
10 JOYCE Michaela - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
11 KOPECKY Lydia J. - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
12 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 21% 10% 3% -
13 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
14 MARTINEZ HANSEN Dayana C. - - - - - - 3% 10% 21% 29% 24% 11% 2%
15 GRADY Miriam A. - 2% 15% 40% 38% 5%
16 CHOI Lyla - 1% 4% 13% 23% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% - -
17 BATES Cassandra L. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
18 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
19 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 17% 7% 2% -
20 PAPADOPOULOS Maria - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% -
21 STEWART Tatijana I. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
22 KHROL Jaclyn - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
23 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
24 PARK Faith K. - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
25 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% -
26 VIE Natalie J. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
27 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 25% 13% 3%
28 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
29 SIRICO Amanda E. - 2% 8% 22% 33% 26% 8%
30 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% -
31 BEITTEL Chloe F. - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
32 LIN Jessica Y. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
33 VERMEULE Emily - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
34 PLENTY Kenyata (Kenya) (Kenya) G. - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 15% 6% 1% - -
35 BUVARP Elisabeth M. - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 25% 14% 5% 1% -
36 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
37 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - - - - - 2% 7% 18% 28% 28% 14% 3%
38 MO Victoria - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
39 KUNJAN Lena R. 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
39 CHRETIEN PAULINE - - - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 26% 14% 4% -
41 LEE Sumin 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
42 SMIK Leonie A. 1% 6% 16% 25% 24% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - -
43 GANDHI Sedna S. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
44 BENNING Friederike - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 16% 5% 1%
45 CEBULA Anne 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
46 KOMAR Sofia - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
47 YAMANAKA Mina - - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% -
48 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
49 SHAMSIAN Shaya - 1% 3% 9% 17% 23% 22% 15% 7% 2% 1% - -
50 KWON Athina - 2% 8% 19% 26% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
51 TONCHEVA Victoria M. - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - -
52 YEU Irene - - - - - 2% 6% 16% 26% 27% 17% 5% 1%
53 BRILL Sophie 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
54 WILEY Erica - 2% 8% 19% 26% 24% 14% 6% 1% - - -
55 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
56 LAWSON Marie A. - 1% 6% 17% 26% 26% 16% 6% 1% - - -
57 LURYE Sarah 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
58 QUINLAN Nicole P. - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
59 LOMBARD Ella 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
60 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - -
61 CHU Audrey - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 11% 3% 1% - - -
62 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - - -
63 PROCTOR Sara J. - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 25% 14% 5% 1% -
63 WOLF Isabella A. - 1% 5% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - -
65 LIN Katie Y. - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
66 PROVENZA Hannah G. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 3% -
67 GAO Aretha R. - 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1% - -
68 ZAFFT Tatiana M. - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
69 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 4% 17% 28% 27% 16% 6% 2% - - - - -
70 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 1% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 6% 2% - - - - -
71 SCHUPPE Sharon A. - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 14% 6% 1% - - -
72 LEE Olive 3% 13% 27% 29% 19% 8% 2% - - - - -
73 KETKAR Mallika 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - -
74 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. - - 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - -
75 LEUNG Natalie - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 14% 6% 2% - -
76 MARCHANT Sandra M. - - - 2% 6% 13% 21% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% -
77 RUSSELL Renata 5% 18% 28% 26% 15% 6% 2% - - - - - -
78 ISERT Sarah - 2% 9% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
79 BOURDEAU Emily B. 1% 4% 14% 24% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - - -
80 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
81 TYLER Syd - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
82 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 17% 9% 3% 1% - -
83 PATURU Meghana - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% - -
84 CANDREVA Greta H. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
85 DESAMOURS Sabine I. - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - -
86 KIM Diane E. - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
87 MAO Amy 1% 5% 16% 27% 26% 16% 6% 2% - - - - -
88 CHIMIENTI Michele 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - - - -
89 MILLIGAN Lauren M. 6% 19% 30% 26% 14% 5% 1% - - - - -
90 BUCUR Rebekah O. - - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 25% 14% 4% -
91 ASHER Valerie 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - - -
91 CHAN Cheri K. - 1% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
93 ZUHARS Renee A. - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
94 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 10% 27% 31% 20% 9% 2% - - - - - - -
95 FOELLMER Kristin - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
97 HEDVAT Alexis S. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
98 WU Amelia - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
99 LANDWEHR Helen B. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
100 TIKHONOVA Julia 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
101 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
102 FENG Kelly L. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
102 MEHROTRA Anya - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
104 LUO Ashley 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
105 WEISS Olivia 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
105 BROOKS Tean R. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
107 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
108 SCHMIDT Lori M. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
109 MARSH Janet L. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
110 GORDET Cristina G. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
111 FILIPPOV Nika D. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
112 BOOY Tamara L. 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
113 NI Emma 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
114 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
115 WEISS Talia L. 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
116 HUZEL Lisa 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
117 BOWIE Charlotta 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
118 PRIMES Amanda M. 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
119 BRISK Angelica A. 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
119 ALLEN Susan B. 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
121 ZHANG Maya 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
122 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
123 BELSLEY Devon K. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
124 PILLSBURY Jessie J. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
125 PROKOP Jeannine A. 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
126 RICH Caroline B. 43% 40% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.