December NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
3 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
6 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
7 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
8 GUO ZI SHAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 50% 22% 4%
9 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
10 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
11 KOPECKY Lydia J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
12 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 82% 60% 34% 13% 3% -
13 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
14 MARTINEZ HANSEN Dayana C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 66% 37% 12% 2%
15 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 5%
16 CHOI Lyla 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 33% 13% 4% 1% - -
17 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
18 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
19 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 27% 9% 2% -
20 PAPADOPOULOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 37% 14% 3% -
21 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
22 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
23 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% -
24 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
25 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 68% 41% 17% 4% -
26 VIE Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
27 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 41% 16% 3%
28 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 48% 22% 6% 1%
29 SIRICO Amanda E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
30 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 43% 19% 6% 1% -
31 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 29% 11% 3% - -
32 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
33 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
34 PLENTY Kenyata (Kenya) (Kenya) G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 45% 22% 7% 2% - -
35 BUVARP Elisabeth M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 44% 19% 5% 1% -
36 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
37 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 45% 17% 3%
38 MO Victoria 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
39 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
39 CHRETIEN PAULINE 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 44% 18% 4% -
41 LEE Sumin 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
42 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 99% 92% 76% 51% 27% 11% 3% 1% - - -
43 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 16% 5% 1% -
44 BENNING Friederike 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 73% 47% 22% 6% 1%
45 CEBULA Anne 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 11% 1%
46 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
47 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 70% 46% 24% 8% 2% -
48 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 57% 31% 12% 3% 1% - - -
49 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 70% 47% 25% 10% 3% 1% - -
50 KWON Athina 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 44% 21% 8% 2% - - - -
51 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 64% 39% 17% 5% 1% - -
52 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 51% 23% 6% 1%
53 BRILL Sophie 100% 99% 96% 84% 63% 38% 18% 7% 2% - - - -
54 WILEY Erica 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 21% 7% 2% - - -
55 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
56 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 49% 24% 8% 2% - - -
57 LURYE Sarah 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
58 QUINLAN Nicole P. 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 63% 38% 17% 5% 1% - -
59 LOMBARD Ella 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
60 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 67% 41% 19% 6% 1% - - -
61 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 62% 35% 15% 4% 1% - - -
62 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 99% 92% 73% 45% 21% 7% 1% - - - -
63 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 45% 20% 5% 1% -
63 WOLF Isabella A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 28% 11% 3% - - -
65 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 42% 20% 7% 2% - -
66 PROVENZA Hannah G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 81% 60% 35% 14% 4% -
67 GAO Aretha R. 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 46% 22% 7% 1% - -
68 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 43% 20% 6% 1% -
69 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 96% 79% 51% 24% 8% 2% - - - - -
70 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 99% 91% 72% 45% 22% 8% 2% - - - - -
71 SCHUPPE Sharon A. 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - -
72 LEE Olive 100% 97% 84% 57% 29% 10% 2% - - - - -
73 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 94% 78% 52% 26% 9% 2% - - -
74 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 65% 38% 16% 5% 1% - -
75 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 22% 8% 2% - -
76 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 79% 58% 34% 15% 4% 1% -
77 RUSSELL Renata 100% 95% 77% 49% 23% 8% 2% - - - - - -
78 ISERT Sarah 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 44% 22% 8% 2% - - - -
79 BOURDEAU Emily B. 100% 99% 95% 81% 58% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
80 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 1%
81 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 15% 5% 1% - -
82 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 12% 4% 1% - -
83 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 59% 35% 16% 5% 1% - -
84 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
85 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% - -
86 KIM Diane E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 57% 31% 12% 3% 1% - - -
87 MAO Amy 100% 99% 94% 77% 51% 25% 9% 2% - - - - -
88 CHIMIENTI Michele 100% 99% 92% 74% 46% 21% 7% 2% - - - - -
89 MILLIGAN Lauren M. 100% 94% 75% 45% 20% 6% 1% - - - - -
90 BUCUR Rebekah O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 44% 19% 5% -
91 ASHER Valerie 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 28% 10% 3% - - - -
91 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 53% 27% 10% 3% - - - -
93 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 46% 22% 8% 2% - -
94 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 90% 63% 32% 11% 3% 1% - - - - - -
95 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
97 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
98 WU Amelia 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
99 LANDWEHR Helen B. 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
100 TIKHONOVA Julia 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
101 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
102 FENG Kelly L. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
102 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
104 LUO Ashley 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
105 WEISS Olivia 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
105 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
107 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
108 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
109 MARSH Janet L. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
110 GORDET Cristina G. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
111 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
112 BOOY Tamara L. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
113 NI Emma 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
114 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
115 WEISS Talia L. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
116 HUZEL Lisa 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
117 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
118 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
119 BRISK Angelica A. 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
119 ALLEN Susan B. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
121 ZHANG Maya 100% 97% 80% 46% 17% 3% -
122 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
123 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
124 PILLSBURY Jessie J. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
125 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
126 RICH Caroline B. 100% 57% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.