Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGO Maximus - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
2 HENDERSON Lucas - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
3 SADHU Neiyam - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
3 SO Preston - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
5 BIVIJI Ali - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
6 KOZLOFF Wyatt - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
7 YAN William - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
8 ANAND Rohan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
9 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
10 LIU Aaron - - 4% 21% 41% 27% 6%
11 KIARA Kinoti - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 WANG Weiyun - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
13 PRIEUR Christian F. - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
14 LIU Ryan 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
15 WAXLER Ryan - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
16 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
17 ZHAO Lucas - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
18 LIU Victor 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
19 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
20 SALDARINI Glenn - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
21 LIU Ethan - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
22 OH Aster - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 28%
23 PORTER Dupree - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
24 VALENCIA Jose - - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5%
25 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5%
26 WONG Max - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
27 HUCHWAJDA Alex - - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
28 ZHANG Kaixuan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
29 MANNINO Miller 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
30 IYER Neil - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
31 LIN Brendan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
32 CLARK Aram - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
33 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
34 LIN Felix - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
35 ZHENG LEON - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
36 CHEN Jonathan - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
37 BROENING-CHAI Jonas - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
38 JI Johnson - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
39 ATWOOD Griffin - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
40 VEDRE Neil - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
41 CHAWLA Abhishek 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
42 SAGE Sebastian - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
43 WANG Max - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
44 KAVZAN Toprak 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
45 LI Huangziyue - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
46 HE Zhikai (kyle) 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
47 SZULIM Lucjan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
48 CHANG Ethan 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
49 PAUL James 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
50 BADMUS Joshua 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
51 PEREIRA Beckham - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
52 XU Ivan - - 6% 25% 43% 25%
52 LAMTAN Christoffer 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
54 KARAVAS Nicholas 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
55 ANAND Rishab - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
56 RINALDI Savio 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
57 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
58 TRZEPLA Max - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
59 ZHAO Royce - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
60 DAI Zihou 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
61 PADANILAM Thomas 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
62 QIN toby 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
63 ZWAKA Jonas - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
64 D'AMELJ Edoardo 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
65 PATEL Rayn - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
66 WANG Theodore - 7% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
67 BAI Evan - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
68 SUN Ryan 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
69 SAGE Nikolai - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
70 PARKILA Lukas 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
71 YU BOWEN - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
72 LUCAS William - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
73 HU Harry - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
73 CRAWFORD William 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
75 KITSON Chase - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
76 BOLLU Viren - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
77 WONG Reagan 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
78 YAO Zachary 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
79 HU Jayden - 3% 18% 40% 30% 8% 1%
80 LAU Kyrus 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
81 GAMELIN DESJARDINS Etienne 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
82 COGLIANO Max 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
83 LUAN Mark - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
84 MENZIES Liam 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
85 SAYAR Luke 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
86 LIANG Morgan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
87 RICHMAN Izak 41% 44% 13% 2% - -
88 BREUER Daniel - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
89 LEE Damian 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
90 YANG Justin 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
91 PERRIN Leo - 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
92 MERMEGAS Alexander 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
93 LEUNG Arthur 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
94 ONG Dylan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
94 ROSE Lucas 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2%
96 MEHTA Yash 2% 16% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
97 KANE Kiran 13% 38% 36% 12% 1% - -
98 KOHLER Vaughn 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
98 LUAN Stephen 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
100 DY Azriel 65% 30% 5% - - - -
101 CHEN Ryan 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
102 OREN Daniel 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
103 LIAO Sirui 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
104 STRUCKER Rocco 7% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
105 NAYAK Surin K. 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
106 BALU Aedan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
107 LEE Ivan 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
108 ALDANA Jeffery 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
109 SANTIAGO Roman 6% 33% 41% 17% 3% - -
110 WEST-BEY Ahmad 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
111 WOMACK Theodore 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
112 NELKA Brenden 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
113 BRAMLETT Myer 20% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
114 MOON Noah 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
115 FENG Brendan 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
116 BENE Paul 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
117 KAUL Ishaan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
118 SONG Aidan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
119 JIN Yubo 12% 48% 31% 8% 1% - -
120 ZHANG Simon 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
121 BENE Andrew 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
122 LIEU Nicholas 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
123 NG Nathaniel 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
124 WAXLER Alex 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
125 LIN Alex 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
126 BUKZIN Alan 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
126 LI Andrew 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
128 WITHAM Leo 65% 31% 4% - - - -
129 PIPKE Garrett 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
130 YEAZEL Colin 27% 50% 20% 3% - -
131 WANG Ziyao 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
132 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
133 HAUSLER Jayden 2% 23% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
134 MICHALSKI Brandon 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.