Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
3 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
3 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
5 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
7 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
8 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
9 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
10 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
11 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
12 WANG Weiyun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
13 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
14 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
15 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
16 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
17 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
18 LIU Victor 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
19 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
20 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
21 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
22 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
23 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
24 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
25 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 5%
26 WONG Max 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
27 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
28 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
29 MANNINO Miller 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
30 IYER Neil 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
31 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
32 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
33 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
34 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
35 ZHENG LEON 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
36 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
37 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
38 JI Johnson 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
39 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
40 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
41 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
42 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
43 WANG Max 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
44 KAVZAN Toprak 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
45 LI Huangziyue 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
46 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
47 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
48 CHANG Ethan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
49 PAUL James 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
50 BADMUS Joshua 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
51 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
52 XU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25%
52 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
54 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
55 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
56 RINALDI Savio 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
57 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
58 TRZEPLA Max 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
59 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
60 DAI Zihou 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
61 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
62 QIN toby 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
63 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
64 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
65 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
66 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
67 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
68 SUN Ryan 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
69 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
70 PARKILA Lukas 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
71 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
72 LUCAS William 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
73 HU Harry 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
73 CRAWFORD William 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
75 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
76 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
77 WONG Reagan 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
78 YAO Zachary 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
79 HU Jayden 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1%
80 LAU Kyrus 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
81 GAMELIN DESJARDINS Etienne 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
82 COGLIANO Max 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
83 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
84 MENZIES Liam 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
85 SAYAR Luke 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
86 LIANG Morgan 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
87 RICHMAN Izak 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
88 BREUER Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
89 LEE Damian 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
90 YANG Justin 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
91 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% -
92 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 99% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
93 LEUNG Arthur 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
94 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
94 ROSE Lucas 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
96 MEHTA Yash 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
97 KANE Kiran 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% - -
98 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
98 LUAN Stephen 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
100 DY Azriel 100% 35% 5% - - - -
101 CHEN Ryan 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
102 OREN Daniel 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
103 LIAO Sirui 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
104 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 94% 66% 29% 6% 1%
105 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
106 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
107 LEE Ivan 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
108 ALDANA Jeffery 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
109 SANTIAGO Roman 100% 94% 61% 20% 3% - -
110 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
111 WOMACK Theodore 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
112 NELKA Brenden 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
113 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
114 MOON Noah 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
115 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
116 BENE Paul 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
117 KAUL Ishaan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
118 SONG Aidan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
119 JIN Yubo 100% 88% 40% 9% 1% - -
120 ZHANG Simon 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
121 BENE Andrew 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
122 LIEU Nicholas 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
123 NG Nathaniel 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
124 WAXLER Alex 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
125 LIN Alex 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
126 BUKZIN Alan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
126 LI Andrew 100% 90% 59% 26% 6% 1% -
128 WITHAM Leo 100% 35% 4% - - - -
129 PIPKE Garrett 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
130 YEAZEL Colin 100% 73% 23% 3% - -
131 WANG Ziyao 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
132 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
133 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 98% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
134 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.