Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Yixuan - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
2 TA-ZHOU Emma - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 17%
3 GUGALA Hanna - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 MACKAY Katherine - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
5 CHAVAN Arya - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
6 GENTILE Vittoria 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
7 SHMULER Fiona - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
8 LAFFY Lily 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 3%
9 XIE Nora - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
10 LIU Hannah - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
11 DHAR Layla - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
12 SPEARS Mya B - - 4% 20% 45% 30%
13 KIM Audrey - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
14 PROBASCO Leila - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
15 CHOWDHERY Myra 2% 14% 30% 31% 18% 5% 1%
16 CHANG Norah 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
17 ZHU Elaine - 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
18 AWAD Royce - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
19 NG Sophia 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
20 CROOKS Riley - - - 3% 16% 44% 37%
21 IANNUZZI Lucy - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
22 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
23 KAUL Tara - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
24 CHI Claire - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
25 ZHANG Ashley 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
26 MAO anna - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
27 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
28 FAVO Isabella - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
28 KRASOWITZ Lucy - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
30 TA-ZHOU Sophia 1% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
31 CHEN Victoria 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
32 BORGUETA Madison 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
33 GONG Joy - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
34 CHANG Annette 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
35 MCAFEE Jada - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
36 NADKARNI Marisa - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
37 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
38 DAVIDOVA Kira - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
39 MAO Elsa - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
40 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
41 FUNG Iris - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
42 BONIN Arielle - 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3%
43 LI Alicia 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -
44 LIANG Claire - 22% 42% 27% 7% 1%
45 KIM Grace 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
46 WONG Charlene - 2% 10% 30% 38% 17% 2%
47 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
48 FAN Alexandria - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
49 HO Sophia 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
50 FANG Darcy 40% 44% 15% 2% - - -
51 ILAGAN Ava 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
52 HUANG Pierra - 19% 41% 30% 9% 1%
53 JOHNSON Neema 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
54 BARNES Sarah 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
55 REN Katherine 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
56 KIM Grace 25% 44% 25% 6% - -
57 CASTELO Soleil - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
58 FLEEGER Sophia 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
59 LI Sonia - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
60 KHOST Maeve - 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
61 YADAV Tishya 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
62 LEE Janice 35% 44% 17% 3% - - -
63 DUTA Lyra 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
64 HILD Anya 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
65 LEE Kaitlin 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
66 HAGN Luna 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
67 POWERS Waverly 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
68 WILFRET Katerina 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
69 HU Heidi 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
70 SEO Kaitlyn 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
71 MING Emma 5% 30% 40% 21% 4% -
72 PRESANTH Nandana - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 2%
73 BANDHU Saahiti 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
74 GUO Yuexi 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
75 GONG Sophie 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
76 HAN sophia - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
77 NAKATA Gwyneth 74% 23% 3% - - - -
78 HOU Suwen 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
79 PARK Haylie 2% 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
79 PHILLIPPY Hannah 12% 39% 37% 11% 1% - -
81 VANNIER Anouk 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
82 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 94% 6% - - - -
83 KANG Ellie 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
84 JONES Victory 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
85 PEREIRA Izumi 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
86 HUANG Anni 62% 32% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.