Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 17%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
5 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
6 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
7 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
8 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
9 XIE Nora 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
10 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
11 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
12 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
13 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
14 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
15 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
16 CHANG Norah 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
17 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
18 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
19 NG Sophia 100% 99% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
20 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
21 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
22 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
23 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
24 CHI Claire 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
25 ZHANG Ashley 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
26 MAO anna 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 1%
27 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
28 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
28 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
30 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
31 CHEN Victoria 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
32 BORGUETA Madison 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
33 GONG Joy 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
34 CHANG Annette 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
35 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
36 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
37 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
38 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
39 MAO Elsa 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
40 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
41 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
42 BONIN Arielle 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
43 LI Alicia 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
44 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 77% 35% 8% 1%
45 KIM Grace 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
46 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
47 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 97% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
48 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
49 HO Sophia 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
50 FANG Darcy 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
51 ILAGAN Ava 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
52 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 80% 39% 9% 1%
53 JOHNSON Neema 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
54 BARNES Sarah 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
55 REN Katherine 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
56 KIM Grace 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
57 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
58 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
59 LI Sonia 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
60 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
61 YADAV Tishya 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
62 LEE Janice 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
63 DUTA Lyra 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
64 HILD Anya 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
65 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
66 HAGN Luna 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
67 POWERS Waverly 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
68 WILFRET Katerina 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
69 HU Heidi 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
70 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
71 MING Emma 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% -
72 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
73 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
74 GUO Yuexi 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
75 GONG Sophie 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
76 HAN sophia 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
77 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 26% 3% - - - -
78 HOU Suwen 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6% -
79 PARK Haylie 100% 98% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
79 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% - -
81 VANNIER Anouk 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
82 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 100% 6% - - - -
83 KANG Ellie 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
84 JONES Victory 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
85 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
86 HUANG Anni 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.