AFM Advanced Class Competition

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Tuesday, January 21, 2025 at 5:30 PM

Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MANA Sameer 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
2 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3%
3 DING Max 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
3 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
5 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
6 MUKKU Emily 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
7 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
8 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
9 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
10 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
11 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
12 WANG Nicole 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
13 LI Allison 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
14 LUO Alvin (Yueyang) Y. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1%
15 YANG Emma 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
16 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
17 LIU Xuyao 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
18 REN Ivanka 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
19 HUANG Jui-An 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1%
20 AGARWAL Keya 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
21 LI Anna 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
22 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
23 BOROVIKOV Sasha 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.