The Fencing Center Winter RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 3:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RAMANAN Jaisimh	-	-	-	1%	11%	41%	47%
2	CONTRACTOR Cyrus	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	37%
3	HRISTOV Kris	-	6%	24%	37%	25%	7%	1%
3	GAY Jono	-	3%	17%	38%	32%	9%
5	POFF Kainoa	-	-	-	7%	36%	57%
6	RAMTEKKAR Soham	-	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	10%
7	KANG Matthew	-	-	2%	11%	35%	40%	12%
8	KANG Evan	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	21%
9	BEKDJANOV Arthur	-	7%	28%	38%	21%	5%	-
10	HOLZ Lucas	-	1%	6%	26%	43%	24%
11	CHAN Henry	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
12	LI AYDEN	-	1%	5%	21%	37%	29%	7%
13	WONG David	1%	11%	29%	36%	19%	4%
14	TAN Ryan	2%	17%	41%	32%	8%	-
15	ZHANG Kaixuan	-	1%	7%	24%	38%	25%	6%
16	RAMANAN Govind	-	-	1%	5%	22%	42%	30%
17	CAO Oliver	-	1%	8%	31%	46%	14%
18	ROSS Dash S.	-	1%	10%	31%	39%	17%	2%
19	VENKATRAMAN Sudhir	3%	30%	40%	21%	5%	1%	-
20	VAN ROY Ray	5%	32%	41%	18%	3%	-	-
21	IYER Neil	2%	17%	39%	31%	10%	1%
22	SEELMAN Cole	8%	38%	39%	14%	2%	-
23	LI Yao (Liam)	1%	7%	25%	37%	25%	6%
24	LUC Linkin	1%	13%	38%	36%	11%	1%
25	FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai)	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
26	GONZALEZ Mark	49%	39%	11%	1%	-	-
27	VO Landon	-	3%	19%	39%	29%	8%	1%
28	LISKOVETS Alec	-	7%	27%	38%	22%	6%	-
29	PROCOS Julian	1%	12%	33%	35%	17%	3%	-
30	HO Anson	-	1%	11%	30%	37%	18%	3%
31	IRVINE Patrick	3%	25%	42%	24%	6%	-	-
32	LIU Yijin	9%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-
33	VOSPER James	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-
34	ZHENIROVSKYY Oleksandr	5%	36%	39%	16%	3%	-	-
35	ELSAYED Yahia	73%	24%	3%	-	-	-	-
36	WARD Carter	66%	30%	4%	-	-	-	-
37	JOUFFLINEAU Yohann	10%	40%	35%	12%	2%	-
37	YAYLI Alp	59%	34%	7%	1%	-	-
39	NELSON Desmond	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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