MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div3 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
2 KIM Parker 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
3 FISCHER Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
3 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
5 LIN Dylan 100% 100% 94% 63% 20% 2%
6 LUO Olivia 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
7 LI Mason 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
8 YAN Aaron 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
9 LI Lief 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
10 STERNAD Pia 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
11 LAI Olivia 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
12 ZHU Claire 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
13 DU Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
14 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 5%
15 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
16 MABRY Vivienne 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
17 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
18 CHEN James 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
19 CHEUNG Carabelle 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
20 TAGNE Zoey 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
21 DONG YIKUN 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% -
22 GU Alexandra 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
23 LEE Clara 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
24 YANG Leo 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% -
25 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
26 KAIMAN Tabitha 100% 24% 2% - - -
27 LUO Derren 100% 93% 35% 5% - -
28 THIMIRI Trishaan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% -
29 FENG Sophia 100% 79% 31% 6% 1% - -
30 STOCK Nina 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
31 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
32 SHI Regina 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.