Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - - 12% 87%
2 LEE Christopher T. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
3 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - - 6% 33% 61%
3 MIN Eric - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
5 ROZALSKI Eli - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
6 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 1% 14% 47% 37%
7 BAILEY William F. - - - 3% 20% 49% 29%
8 WU Alistair - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 24%
9 LU Kevin - - 3% 19% 41% 31% 6%
10 WANDJI Noah - - 3% 21% 47% 24% 3%
11 KRYLTSOV Michael - - - 5% 31% 57% 6%
12 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
13 CHEUNG Hank - 1% 6% 25% 42% 22% 4%
14 RAUTUREAU Arthur 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
15 GUTIERREZ Nick A. - - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
16 HARROCH Faustin 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
17 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
18 MCINTOSH Caleb D. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
19 CHEN Fengyi(James) - 12% 37% 37% 12% 1% -
20 LIPPMAN Sam - - 4% 22% 42% 28% 4%
20 HARRIS Julien 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
22 TALASILA Arush - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
23 KUZMAK Michael J. - 1% 11% 35% 42% 10% -
24 KIM Teo 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
25 LIU BAI HENG (Leo) 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
26 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan - 15% 42% 34% 8% 1% -
27 CRAIG Whitman 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
28 YU Kinton 1% 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
29 COSGROVE Jameson - 12% 39% 38% 10% 1% -
29 FECAROTTA Ryan 1% 14% 39% 35% 10% 1% -
31 MIRON Ioachim 1% 36% 44% 17% 2% - -
32 SU Preston 23% 47% 24% 5% - - -
33 SU Desmond 3% 33% 42% 19% 3% - -
34 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 39% 45% 15% 2% - - -
35 GARDNER William 5% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1% -
36 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
37 TOYOFUKU Ethan 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
38 GOWDA Sumeru 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
39 CLEMENTE Aragorn 15% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
40 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
41 HINKLE Paul 93% 7% - - - - -
42 NICHOLSON John 82% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.