Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
2 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
3 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
6 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 37%
7 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
8 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 6%
10 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27% 3%
11 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 6%
12 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
13 CHEUNG Hank 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 4%
14 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
15 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
16 HARROCH Faustin 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
17 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
18 MCINTOSH Caleb D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
19 CHEN Fengyi(James) 100% 100% 87% 50% 13% 1% -
20 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4%
20 HARRIS Julien 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% - -
22 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
23 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11% -
24 KIM Teo 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1% -
25 LIU BAI HENG (Leo) 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
26 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% -
27 CRAIG Whitman 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
28 YU Kinton 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
29 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% -
29 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1% -
31 MIRON Ioachim 100% 99% 63% 19% 2% - -
32 SU Preston 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
33 SU Desmond 100% 97% 65% 22% 3% - -
34 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
35 GARDNER William 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
36 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
37 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
38 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
39 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
40 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% - -
41 HINKLE Paul 100% 7% - - - - -
42 NICHOLSON John 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.