Event Results
December NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PIMOUTKINE Roustam R. | V D V V V | V V V V V | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | HABALA Peter | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 3 | JOHANSON David B. | D D V D V V | V V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | WYSZYNSKI Marek B. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 5 | CHEN David A. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 6 | ANDERSON Kristian S. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 7 | STRICKLAND Michael C. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 8 | PAVLOVICH Robert | V V D D D | V V V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 9 | BANKS Alexander S. | V V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 10 | KOEHN Ted | D V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 11 | DOURAGHY Jamie M. | V V V D V | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 12 | MARTOS Darwin C. | V V V V D D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | LEE Stephen K. | V D D V V | V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 14 | CHO Michael | D V V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 15 | TANG Julian | D V V D D V | V V D | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 16 | HENDRICKS Ron | D V D V V D | V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 17 | LAWRENCE John W. | V V V V V V | D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 18 | CAMERON Matt W. | V V V V V | D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 19 | KAIHATSU Edward J. | V V V D V V | D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 20 | DIAZ HERNANDEZ Yasmany E. | V V V D V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 21 | VOYIAZIAKIS Emanuel | V D V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 22 | LEBLANC Gerald (Jerry) A. | V D D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 23 | WILLEY David S. | D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 24 | ESTELL Oscar M. | V V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 25 | WILBERT Matt | V D D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 26 | GROSS Stephen R. | D V D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 27 | GRISWOLD Doug | D V D V D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 28 | FADL Omar | D V V D D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 29 | KISSINGFORD John F. | V D D D V | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 30 | PATTERSON Jan (Janmon) M. | D V D D V | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 31 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 32 | JONES Bryan T. | D D D D V | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 33 | LUONG Allen | D D V V V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 34 | DRAKE David L. | D V V D D V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 35 | VALENTINE Iain | D D V V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 36 | BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. | V D D D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 37 | KLEIN Johannes | V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 38 | WU Clarence C. | V D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 39 | ALLAN Peter L. | D V D V D D | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 40 | NEWSON Frank | D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 41 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | D D D V D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 42 | ZEISS Gary M. | D D V D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 43 | LEYLAND John | D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 44 | POWERS Douglas A. | D D D D V D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 45 | KIRSHNER Ronald | V D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 46 | WHITESIDES Scott M. | D V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 47 | GALLUCH Peter G. | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 48 | YOO Terry S. | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 49 | STEINMAN Jack | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 50 | CAIN Russell (Russ) P. | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 51 | PREUD'HOMME Xavier A. | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |