2025 TCFC January Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOCKWOOD Jacob - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
2 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 BERSCHEID Arthur - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
3 ZINSER James - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
5 NAIDL Josiah - - - - 6% 30% 64%
6 MARTIN Wesley 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
7 MENASCO Juliun - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
8 DING Zilin - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
9 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
10 ISHANOVA Sofia - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
11 HASHMI Mushaf 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
12 REESE Rebecca M. 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
13 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
14 HOPKINS Dylan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 1%
15 MADSEN Lindsey 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
16 YATES Graeme 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
17 CAPERS Hunter - 3% 17% 39% 35% 7%
18 CLIPPARD Erik J. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
19 KWANT Henry - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
20 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
21 FLOOD Moe 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
22 FADLIA Murad - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
23 STELLPFLUG Zachary 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
24 FEEHAN Conor 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
25 ROY Griffin 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
26 HICKNER Gabe 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
27 LOVE Brianna 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
28 DAVIS Jace W. 1% 7% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
29 POLYZOIS Alkis 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
30 HEUER Weston 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
31 BELL Andrew 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
32 CHRISTENSEN Jack 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
33 TELCI Arya 59% 34% 6% - - -
34 PETERSON Penelope 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
35 LEGGETT Emilia 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
36 CHAPMAN Graeme 10% 54% 30% 5% - -
38 ZERR Daemin 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
39 SZUDY Gabe < 1% 6% 35% 42% 15% 2%
40 GRAY Elijah 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
42 NELSON Joseph 1% 22% 50% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.