2025 TCFC January Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 ZINSER James 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
5 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
6 MARTIN Wesley 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
7 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
8 DING Zilin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
9 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
10 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 HASHMI Mushaf 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
12 REESE Rebecca M. 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
13 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
14 HOPKINS Dylan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 16% 1%
15 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
16 YATES Graeme 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% - -
17 CAPERS Hunter 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
18 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
19 KWANT Henry 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
20 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
21 FLOOD Moe 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
22 FADLIA Murad 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
23 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
24 FEEHAN Conor 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
25 ROY Griffin 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
26 HICKNER Gabe 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
27 LOVE Brianna 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
28 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
29 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
30 HEUER Weston 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
31 BELL Andrew 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
32 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
33 TELCI Arya 100% 41% 7% - - -
34 PETERSON Penelope 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
35 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% - -
36 CHAPMAN Graeme 100% 90% 36% 6% - -
38 ZERR Daemin 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
39 SZUDY Gabe 100% 100% 94% 59% 17% 2%
40 GRAY Elijah 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
42 NELSON Joseph 100% 99% 78% 27% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.