San Diego Cup - Youth Epee #5

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Diegueno Middle School Cougar Hall - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 MO Qixuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 49%
2 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 100% 93% 61% 14%
3 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
3 RAMIREZ URRUTIA Ian Alfonso 100% 100% 98% 62% 7%
5 KIM Vivian 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
6 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 92% 61% 16%
7 ELARDO Griffin 100% 96% 64% 7% -
8 YI Alexander 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
9 LAU Caleb 100% 87% 49% 13% 1%
10 MANDAP Natalya 100% 99% 86% 44% 7%
11 BUSH Andrew 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
12 LI Connor 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
13 LEE Connor 100% 72% 27% 4% -
14 LIU Victor 100% 81% 37% 6% -
15 LIU Ethan 100% 86% 41% 9% 1%
16 LI Ethan 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
17 TAN Yichen 100% 62% 15% 1% -
18 HARDY Haywood 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
19 SU Luke 100% 77% 31% 5% -
20 WELLISCH Alexander 100% 89% 54% 15% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.