DMFC's 2025 Frostbite (Foil & Saber)

Junior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

West Des Moines Christian Church - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FEEHAN Conor 100% 74% 27% 4% < 1%
2 HUBER Zion 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 FERGUSON Isaiah 100% 98% 82% 44% 11%
3 LIBBY-WHITTINGTON X 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
5 WOERTER Therese-Margaret 100% 100% 98% 77% 18% 1%
6 HARVEY Sam 100% 94% 61% 18% 1%
7 VEIGEL Harper 100% 84% 46% 13% 1%
8 YOUNG Taryn 100% 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%
9 LAHEY Jake 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
10 ZYLSTRA Bobby 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
11 HILL Donovan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
12 BUDAHN Henry 100% 94% 68% 27% 3%
13 MARCHETTI Mackenzie 100% 84% 38% 8% 1%
14 GONG-BROWNE Kaili 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
15 NORTON Oliver 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
16 CLARK Andrew 100% 97% 78% 36% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.