UVA Cavalier Open 2025

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 METZ Mason 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
3 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
5 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
7 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
8 DIEP Kevin 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
9 SHEA Aleksander 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1% -
10 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 95% 58% 20% 4% < 1% -
11 ALTON Abigail 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
12 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
13 INGLE Kate 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
14 SINGH Meet 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
15 BAYLESS Varnum 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6% -
16 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
17 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
18 WATSON Logan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
19 MITCHELL Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
20 MERINO Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
21 LEUNG Sophianne 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
22 SHIPMAN Steven 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
23 LOVELACE Vander 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
24 HAVERSON Rana 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
25 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10% -
26 WATSON Colby 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
27 CRISPIN Haley 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
28 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
29 COLEMAN William 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15% 1%
30 JORDAN Olivia 100% 92% 67% 34% 10% 2% -
31 CHROBAK Reed 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
32 HOUFF Ashleigh 100% 99% 84% 26% 3% - -
33 CORSON Amelie 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
34 MAINA America 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.