UVA Cavalier Open 2025

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHANKS Aidan T. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 METZ Mason - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
3 SHEYNKMAN Leon - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 CHENH Justin - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
5 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
6 SAE-TUNG Kevin 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
7 STRUMLAUF Jacob 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
8 DIEP Kevin 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
9 SHEA Aleksander 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1% -
10 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 5% 37% 38% 16% 3% < 1% -
11 ALTON Abigail 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
12 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua - 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
13 INGLE Kate - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
14 SINGH Meet 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
15 BAYLESS Varnum 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
16 NANAYAKKARA Damin 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
17 ROUNTREE Andrew - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 2%
18 WATSON Logan 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
19 MITCHELL Christopher - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
20 MERINO Aidan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
21 LEUNG Sophianne 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
22 SHIPMAN Steven 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
23 LOVELACE Vander 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
24 HAVERSON Rana 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
25 EDELMAN Catherine 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10% -
26 WATSON Colby - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
27 CRISPIN Haley 36% 45% 17% 2% - - -
28 SHANKS Jennifer - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
29 COLEMAN William - 1% 9% 33% 42% 14% 1%
30 JORDAN Olivia 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
31 CHROBAK Reed 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
32 HOUFF Ashleigh 1% 15% 58% 23% 3% - -
33 CORSON Amelie 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
34 MAINA America 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.