AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 MCLAREN Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 54% 23% 5%
2 COLLINS Kaden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 49% 20% 4%
3 WONG Vansen 100% 100% 96% 83% 59% 30% 10% 2% -
3 ZHANG Luqi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 52% 22% 4%
5 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 99% 93% 76% 48% 21% 6% 1% -
6 TOPPING Axel 100% 100% 96% 84% 60% 31% 11% 2% -
7 LEMENAGER Calder 100% 99% 94% 78% 51% 24% 7% 1% -
8 SHIU Cole 100% 89% 61% 28% 9% 2% - - -
9 TALATAM Arnav 100% 98% 87% 63% 33% 12% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.