NEUSFA 2019 Pomme De Terre Individual

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 16, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University, Gosman Sports Center - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 20%
3 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
5 ANDRADE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 35%
6 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
7 IBRAHIM Marwan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
8 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 LI Brian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
10 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
12 HAN YiMing 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 44%
13 KOECK Tomas E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
14 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 44%
15 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
16 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
17 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
18 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
19 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
19 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
21 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
22 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
23 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
24 HEWES Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 11%
25 LI Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
26 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
27 DING Allan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 12%
27 ACINAPURO Philip M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
30 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 47%
31 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
32 BADRIGIAN William H. 100% 99% 90% 56% 14% 1% -
33 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
34 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
35 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
36 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
37 MA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
38 CRALEY Thomas 100% 100% 99% 85% 41% 9% -
38 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
40 DOBBINS Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
41 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
42 LIU Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
44 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1% -
45 CORTIZAS Jack 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
46 SEAH Chad 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
47 LE Vyn A. 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1% -
48 DING Jonathan 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
49 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
50 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
51 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
52 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 6% -
52 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34% 3%
54 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 100% 97% 76% 30% 5% -
54 LAROSEE Matthew D. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
56 BATRAK Alexander 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
57 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17% 1%
59 KAZA Nitish 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
60 LIU Eric P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
61 CHESTNA Sam 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
62 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
63 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
64 HU Robin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
65 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
66 ZHOU Timmy 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
67 MILLER Andrew 100% 92% 59% 15% 2% - -
68 YE Kevin E. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
69 SHA Yi Peng 100% 94% 64% 23% 3% - -
70 HOWELL Thomas A. 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
71 ARTIS Tre D. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
72 MOO Gareth G. 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% - -
73 DU Samuel R. 100% 99% 85% 51% 15% 1% -
75 MARSHALL Ian 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
76 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
77 MILLER Trent D. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
78 BICKFORD Michael 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
79 FU Yifan 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
80 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
81 TSAI Philip W. 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
82 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 99% 82% 33% 6% 1% -
83 BRINTON III Robert H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
84 AHN Andrew 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
85 LIGH Thomas 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 10% 1%
86 WOHLERS Casey 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
87 VARGAS Hector W. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
88 BANKS Alexander S. 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
88 TSAI Max W. 100% 90% 44% 11% 1% - -
90 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
91 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% - -
92 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
93 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
94 HOWARD Alexander 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
95 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 95% 66% 21% 3% - -
96 ZHAO Jesse 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
97 FERNANDEZ-PRADA Kenneth (Ken) D. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
98 QI Steve 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
99 LIGH Jack 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
100 WILBERT Matt 100% 89% 42% 7% - - -
101 CAMAYO-ROSERO Andres Camilo 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
102 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
102 SPOSATO Luke 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
104 HOWARD Michael 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
105 CHU Tristan L. 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
106 WIEST Henry 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
107 WANG Jonathan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
107 JIN Dennis H. 100% 76% 26% 2% - - -
109 ROTHCHILD Matthew 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
110 ROADY Tyler J. 100% 90% 55% 16% 1% - -
110 GUO Hairuo 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.