SYFA Cupid's Arrow 2025

Men's Foil

Saturday, February 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Rochester Regional Sports Center - Rochester, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOEWS Jackson - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
2 BERSCHEID Arthur - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
3 RUBY Asher 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
4 GLOVER George - - 7% 35% 58%
5 LOCKWOOD Jacob - - - 3% 23% 75%
6 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson - 1% 15% 57% 27%
7 DIFRANK Tae 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
8 ZINSER James - 3% 18% 44% 36%
9 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden - 6% 31% 48% 13% 1%
10 BASTODKAR Ved 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 1%
11 FEEHAN Conor 4% 27% 52% 16% 1%
12 KWAN Victor 4% 24% 42% 25% 5%
13 MENASCO Juliun - 6% 24% 40% 26% 3%
14 AHNEMANN Leif 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
15 KRUEGER Benjamin 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
16 YATES Graeme 28% 45% 22% 4% -
17 FADLIA Murad - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
18 FLOOD Moe 12% 37% 35% 14% 2%
19 HASHMI Mushaf 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
20 ZHANG Alexander 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
21 BAUER Elijah 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
22 BURCHILL Carter - 2% 13% 43% 42%
23 DRAWZ Chase 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
24 WANG Allan 5% 25% 39% 25% 5%
25 WOODS Jarek 4% 26% 40% 25% 5%
25 TRAN Allex 1% 14% 37% 36% 12%
27 MARTIN Wesley 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
28 HUANG Kai 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
29 HOKANSON Braddock 9% 36% 41% 13% 1%
31 STELLPFLUG Zachary 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
32 ANDERSON Norse 32% 45% 20% 3% -
33 MOGENSEN Ezra 4% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
34 UNGLAUB Maxwell 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
35 FERRARA Asher 8% 30% 38% 20% 3%
36 BALDERES Gavin 17% 44% 32% 8% -
37 ROY Griffin 2% 15% 35% 35% 13% 1%
38 BERCHENKO Zachary 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
39 WANGDU Dorjee - - 5% 25% 49% 21%
40 POLYZOIS Alkis 21% 53% 23% 3% -
41 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
43 FANG Ethan 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
44 CRUZ Cole 30% 45% 21% 3% - -
45 ENGLERT Brayden 43% 42% 13% 2% -
47 AMARVI Dominic 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
48 PEICHEL Joshua 19% 40% 31% 10% 1%
49 WAIBA Rhythm - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
50 AHRENS Declan 9% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
51 PETERSON Quinn 11% 34% 37% 16% 2%
53 TUEL Jude 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
54 DAVIS Jace 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
56 BEDARD Bennett 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
59 WINTERS Linus 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
60 CARDIN Harvey 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
61 WEED Matthew 56% 35% 8% 1% -
65 CASEY Liam 20% 42% 29% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.