Battle of the Bay Epee Opens

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
2 PACHECO Carys 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
3 XU Jessica 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3%
3 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
5 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
6 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
7 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
8 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
9 SUN Karolyn 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 3% -
10 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
11 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
12 BUCA Nora 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
13 YUNG Bethany 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 5% -
14 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 84% 48% 18% 4% - -
15 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
16 MADRID Maureen 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
17 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
18 KROTZ Gemma 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% -
19 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
20 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
21 ZU Jacqueline 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
22 DALEY Keira 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
23 BUDMAN Ava 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
24 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
25 TESLENKO Ekaterina 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
26 GURROLA Michal 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
27 SMITH Marissa 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.