Salle d'Arcane Youth Foil

Y-14 Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Bay Area Fencing Pleasanton - Pleasonton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
2 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 4%
3 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
3 LEE Abigail 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% < 1%
5 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
6 LI Audrey 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
7 PAN Samantha 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
8 CHEUNG Henry 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
9 OTAEGI Elorri 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 6%
10 KIM Natalie 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
11 JIN Jiyuan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
12 SMOLIN Theo 100% 86% 44% 8% 1% - -
13 PARK Seojeong 100% 61% 19% 3% -
14 DOWNEY-CHIKO Colin Quinn 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
15 XIE Kevin 100% 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
16 YAN Jocelyn 100% 92% 60% 21% 3%
17 GABRIEL Blythe 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
18 CHEUNG Chloe Ava 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.