Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 11:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GINIS Nathan - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
2 HO Kaden M. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
3 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
5 SKINNER Graham B. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 OH Triton - 3% 18% 36% 32% 10%
8 PENG Bryan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
9 CHANG Yufeng 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
10 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
11 WANG Robert - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
12 HAN Daniel Y. 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
13 GOLDMAN Noah R. - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
14 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 1% 5% 23% 45% 26%
15 RODE Leon J. - - 4% 24% 50% 21%
16 CHTERENTAL Alex - 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
17 MARGULIES William - 12% 33% 35% 17% 3%
18 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
19 CHENG Cody 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
20 WONG Ryan - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
21 KASPER Aaron 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
22 CLYMER Lucas Y. 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
23 DOLAN Charles R. 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
24 SAVOY Luca - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
25 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
25 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
27 SHOMAN Noah - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
28 WEN Edward 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 2% -
29 OWENS Harrison J. 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
30 ZHUANG Rayken 2% 17% 41% 32% 7% -
31 WANG Oscar 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
32 BRIDGES Benjamin 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
33 BAE Jason I. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
34 LEONARD Charles - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 2%
35 BOUKHTIN Maxim 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
36 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
37 HUANG Maxwell H. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5%
38 ZHANG Yankun 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
39 HUANG Tom - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
40 SPOSATO Andrew P. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5%
40 LEMPERT Adam 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
42 PERRON Robert 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% -
43 OKEEFE Mitchell 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
44 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - - 3% 15% 38% 36% 9%
45 SHTEIN Yan - 12% 33% 35% 17% 3%
46 FIELDS Matthew S. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
47 PIWOWAR Alex 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
48 ALTILAR BARTU - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
49 SMITH Vaughn 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
50 HUANG Connor 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
51 STURN Oliver - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
52 MOULTON Ian 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
53 HONG Robert 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
54 SHI Erick 11% 34% 36% 16% 4% - -
55 TIAGI Daniel 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
56 MORALES Jonathan 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
57 BRANDT Jaden 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
58 WU Hunter 1% 11% 36% 38% 13% 1%
58 WASSERMAN Aiden 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
60 KILGALLEN William - 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
61 VOSS Jeffer 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
62 POSY Daniel 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% -
63 LAM Jeffrey Y. 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
64 GONG Jerry 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
65 STOLPER Max 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
66 MAZURENKO Alexander 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
67 OSSMANN Archer 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
68 TAUER Sam 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
68 GOLD Carter 11% 45% 33% 10% 1% - -
70 CHAMPAGNE Connor 16% 47% 30% 7% 1% -
71 MILLER Guy 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
72 HOFFMAN Pasquale 87% 13% 1% - - -
72 DAI William 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
72 TANG Charles 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
75 MUNGOVAN Matthew 33% 44% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.