Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 11:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
3 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
5 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
7 OH Triton 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
8 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
9 CHANG Yufeng 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
10 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
11 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
12 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
13 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
14 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
15 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
16 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
17 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 3%
18 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
19 CHENG Cody 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
20 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
21 KASPER Aaron 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
22 CLYMER Lucas Y. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
23 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
24 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
25 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 29%
25 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
27 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
28 WEN Edward 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
29 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
30 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 98% 80% 39% 7% -
31 WANG Oscar 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
32 BRIDGES Benjamin 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
33 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
34 LEONARD Charles 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
35 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
36 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
37 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
38 ZHANG Yankun 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
39 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
40 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
40 LEMPERT Adam 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
42 PERRON Robert 100% 86% 40% 8% 1% -
43 OKEEFE Mitchell 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
44 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 9%
45 SHTEIN Yan 100% 100% 88% 55% 19% 3%
46 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
47 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
48 ALTILAR BARTU 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
49 SMITH Vaughn 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
50 HUANG Connor 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
51 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
52 MOULTON Ian 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
53 HONG Robert 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
54 SHI Erick 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
55 TIAGI Daniel 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
56 MORALES Jonathan 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
57 BRANDT Jaden 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
58 WU Hunter 100% 99% 88% 52% 14% 1%
58 WASSERMAN Aiden 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
60 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
61 VOSS Jeffer 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
62 POSY Daniel 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
63 LAM Jeffrey Y. 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
64 GONG Jerry 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
65 STOLPER Max 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
66 MAZURENKO Alexander 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
67 OSSMANN Archer 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
68 TAUER Sam 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
68 GOLD Carter 100% 89% 44% 11% 1% - -
70 CHAMPAGNE Connor 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
71 MILLER Guy 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
72 HOFFMAN Pasquale 100% 13% 1% - - -
72 DAI William 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
72 TANG Charles 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
75 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 67% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.