Junior Olympics & Div 1 NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, February 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte Convention Center - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
6 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 10%
7 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
8 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
9 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 4%
10 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
12 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
13 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
14 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
15 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 31% 4%
16 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
17 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
17 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
19 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
20 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
21 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
22 LAURI Keira 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
23 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
24 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
25 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 11%
26 LU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
27 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
28 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
29 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
30 WU Helen 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
31 CHAN Jolene 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
32 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3% -
33 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 9%
34 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
35 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15% < 1%
36 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
37 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
38 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
39 XIONG Haojiao 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
40 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
41 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
42 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
43 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 96% 79% 45% 11%
44 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
45 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
46 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
47 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
48 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
49 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
50 ZENG Sarah 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
51 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4% -
52 WANG yining 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
53 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
54 BARROSO Isabela 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
55 ELBAKRY jana 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 3%
56 YANG Lea 100% 99% 93% 67% 24% 3%
57 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
58 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
59 FAVO Isabella 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
60 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
61 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
62 WEI JoyAnn 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
63 FUNG Iris 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
64 SCOTT Eve 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
65 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
66 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
67 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
68 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
69 CORTEYN Jolien 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
70 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
71 DHAR Rana 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
72 XIAO julie 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
73 LIN Elaine 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
74 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
75 LIU Hannah 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
76 MACKAY Katherine 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
77 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
78 KHAN Alissa 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
78 LI Alexis 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
80 MALEK Zolie 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
81 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
82 WILSON Eva 100% 84% 41% 8% 1% -
83 LIU Sydney 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
84 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1%
85 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 7%
86 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
86 SAYSON Andrea 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
88 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
89 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
90 FAN Alexandria 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
91 ZHANG Sophie 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
92 GOLDIN Nina 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
93 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
94 SHMULER Fiona 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
94 YU Holly 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
96 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
97 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
98 MARYASH Samantha 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 7% 1%
99 DANG Kelia 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
100 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5% -
101 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15% 1%
102 SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 9%
103 HU Anna 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
104 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
105 GUGALA Hanna 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
106 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
107 KIM Satie 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
108 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
109 WONG Natalie 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
110 XU Emily T. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
111 CHIANG Melissa 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
112 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
113 NG Sophia 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
114 SPEARS Mya B 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
115 NAYAK Antara 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
116 CHAVAN Arya 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
116 LUKER Sophia 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
118 WANG Jiayi 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
119 NAYAK Esha 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
119 AWAD Royce 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
121 OCA Merci 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
122 MUND Ruth 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
123 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
124 NGUYEN Siena 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
125 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
126 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
127 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 12%
128 DONG Angel 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
129 DHAR Layla 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
130 PABIAN Emilia 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
131 LEOU Korina 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
132 CARTER Keely 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
133 CONG Anne 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
134 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
135 WANG Callie 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
136 HU Michelle 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
137 NIU Jessica 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
138 ZHENG Valentina 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
138 KINKADE Ellie 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
140 WALLER London 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
141 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 5%
142 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
143 DAI Olivia 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% - -
144 TAN Adelyn 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
145 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
146 LITTLE Avery 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
147 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
148 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
148 YAM Danika 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
150 LIU kai yin aria 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
151 CASTELO Soleil 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
151 YAO Rainie 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
151 WONG Charlene 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
154 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
154 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
156 XIE Nora 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
157 BROCK Sydney 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
158 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
158 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
158 LUKER Hannah 100% 81% 43% 12% 2% - -
161 HUANG Rachael 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
162 PAPAPETROPOULOU ALEXANDRA 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
163 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
164 CHI Claire 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
165 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
165 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 86% 44% 12% 1% - -
167 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
168 CHEN Elaine 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
169 YUEN Nicole 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
170 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
170 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
172 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
173 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
174 LIN Annika 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
175 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
176 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
177 HSU Leah 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
178 COLTER Aurora 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.