Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, April 28, 2017 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
2 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
3 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
3 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
5 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
6 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
7 JI Cody 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
8 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
9 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
10 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
11 GINIS Nathan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
12 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
13 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
14 YAVINSKY Colin 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
15 GRASS James D. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
16 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
17 XUE Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
18 MADDALONE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
19 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
20 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
21 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
22 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
23 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
24 MORRILL William 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
25 LU Caleb Q. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
26 YE Henry K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
27 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
28 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
29 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
29 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
31 CHEN Oscar 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
32 YOU Jaden 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
33 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
34 KRZYZANOWSKI Adam 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
35 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
36 SHOMAN Noah 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
37 COX Luis E. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
38 WELLS Griffin 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
40 CHEN Collin H. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
41 WOODWARD Connor 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
42 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
43 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
44 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
45 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
46 DU Gavin 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
47 LEE Justin 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
48 LEE Derek J. 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
50 LIU Christopher X. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
51 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
52 HONG Steven 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
53 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
54 WU Richard 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.