RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Foil #2

Div III Mixed Foil

Thursday, February 20, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU BAI HENG (Leo) 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
2 SU Desmond 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
3 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 8%
3 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
5 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
6 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
7 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
8 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 99% 79% 17%
9 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
10 HAN Mia 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3%
11 BEASLEY Julien 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
12 NICHOLSON John 100% 80% 36% 6% - -
13 CHANG Joseph 100% 96% 69% 18% 1%
14 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
15 SU Preston 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 8%
16 LU Chang 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
17 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
18 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
19 YU Ziyao 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
20 KIM Arielle 100% 59% 12% - -
21 ISLAM Asif 100% 85% 45% 9% - -
22 LEE Michael 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
22 WU Elynna 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
24 FRIEDEN Quinn 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
25 WANG Albert 100% 64% 16% 1% - -
26 DUGAN Nathan 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% -
27 MERRIMAN Johnathan 100% 80% 37% 7% - -
28 BLIDAR Giulia 100% 67% 14% 1% -
29 SHOKRI Nick 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.