RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Foil #2

Div III Mixed Foil

Thursday, February 20, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU BAI HENG (Leo) - - 2% 29% 69%
2 SU Desmond 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
3 CHRISTIAN Jonathan - 1% 8% 38% 45% 8%
3 ZHANG Raphael - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
5 HARROCH Faustin - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
6 HAN Ashley - 1% 7% 27% 46% 20%
7 FECAROTTA Ryan - - 4% 23% 46% 26%
8 HARRIS Julien - 1% 20% 61% 17%
9 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
10 HAN Mia - 11% 33% 37% 17% 3%
11 BEASLEY Julien - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17%
12 NICHOLSON John 20% 44% 30% 6% - -
13 CHANG Joseph 4% 27% 51% 17% 1%
14 COSGROVE Jameson - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
15 SU Preston - 2% 15% 43% 33% 8%
16 LU Chang 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
17 SHIN Jaelynn 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
18 CLEMENTE Aragorn 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
19 YU Ziyao 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
20 KIM Arielle 41% 47% 12% - -
21 ISLAM Asif 15% 41% 35% 9% - -
22 LEE Michael 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
22 WU Elynna - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
24 FRIEDEN Quinn 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
25 WANG Albert 36% 48% 15% 1% - -
26 DUGAN Nathan 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
27 MERRIMAN Johnathan 20% 44% 30% 6% - -
28 BLIDAR Giulia 33% 53% 14% 1% -
29 SHOKRI Nick 12% 40% 37% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.