Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LUCAS William | V V V V D V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 2 | ISAYENKO Daniel | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 3 | LAU Kyrus | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | LIANG Morgan | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 5 | BEAL Colton | V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 6 | SONG Aidan | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 7 | SHAPIRO Leo | V D V D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 8 | NARAYAN Rishi | V D V D D V | V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 9 | HOWARTH Hayes | V V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| 10 | BENNETT Lachlan | V D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 11 | AVERY Marcus | V V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 12 | CHAN Ewan | D V V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 13 | PARK Sean | V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 14 | HAHN EVER | V V V D V D | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 15 | CHAVAN Aditya | D D V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 16 | GILBERT Ari | V V V V D D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 17 | SONG Ryan | V V V D V V | D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 18 | BLAIR Campbell | D V D V V V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 19 | PARK Layne | D V D V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 20 | LEE Jeffrey | V V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 21 | LIM JUWANA Maximilian | D V D D V V | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 22 | TERENTIEV Michael | V D D V V D | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 23 | ZHAO Alexander | D V V D V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 24 | CHEN Mark | D V V D V D | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 25 | CIECIEREGA MATTHEW | D D V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 26 | MOTOV Max | V D V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 27 | SABINO Bennett | V V D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 28 | GAW Zachary | D V D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 29 | LI Kent | D V D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 30 | ZALETAEV Jacob | V V D D D D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 31 | DAI Ethan | V D V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 32 | LEV Iaroslav | D V D V D D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 33 | SEDAKA Dylan | V V D D V D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 34 | CHEN Brian | V D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 35 | JIA Francis | D D D V D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 36 | HU Simon | D D D V D V | D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 37 | CHEN Ryan | D D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 38 | WANG William | D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 39 | PALERMO Evan | D D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 40 | GAW Christian | D D D D V D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 41 | SOBOLEWSKI Isaac | V D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 41 | LI Felix | D D D V D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 43 | HUANG KIMBALL | V D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 44 | BORNHOLZ Lawrence | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 44 | KULJIEV Boyan | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 46 | CASTON James | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 47 | LI Sebastian | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 48 | CHEN Tyler | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.