9th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
3 JACKSON James 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
3 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
5 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
7 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
8 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
9 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
9 SHIVELY Cole T. 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
11 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 33%
12 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42% 6%
13 FULLERTON Joshua D. 100% 100% 99% 88% 41% 6%
14 KOSSMANN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
15 RASSEL John 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
16 TYSON Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 10%
17 SALLAM Omar 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
18 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
19 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
20 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 50%
21 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
22 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
23 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
24 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
25 FRAGER Soleil 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 1%
26 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 99% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
27 BEATTY Thomas 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 4% -
28 KARPF Jonah 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% - -
29 SEEDS Aidan 100% 98% 79% 27% 3% -
30 WYNN Paul 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
31 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
32 STEPHENSON William 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
33 SIENRA Xabier 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
34 RODA Thaleia 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% -
35 BATISTA Julian 100% 100% 98% 81% 35% 3%
36 DASILVA Mia 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
37 PACILIO Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
38 LOPEZ Lincoln 100% 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
39 ARIANAS Elias 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 13% 2%
40 HUSZAR Sara 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
41 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 99% 90% 52% 9% -
42 GUO Lucas 100% 99% 66% 20% 2% -
43 LE BLANC Anna 100% 93% 42% 6% - -
44 HERARD Weiman 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
45 NARANJO Andrew 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
46 BAINO Lorenzo 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
47 RAUDALES Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
48 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
49 CULLEN Reilly 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
50 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 75% 28% 3% -
51 COATES Gregory 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
52 GREGORY Aedan 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -
53 CARRERO Quentin 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
54 BENTON Kira 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
55 HART Justin 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
56 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3% -
56 BEST Sydney 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
58 HUANG Arthur 100% 77% 27% 5% - - -
59 GRIFFITHS Wesley 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
60 MOSCOSO SERRANO Andrea 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
61 GUADAMUZ Cesar 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
62 SAYER Laura 100% 34% 5% - - -
62 NGUYEN Catarina 100% 19% 1% - - -
64 PHAM Hailey 100% 26% 3% - - - -
65 CHAVARIN Alessandro 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.