W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
2 HARE John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 62%
3 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
3 FORT David 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
5 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
5 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
7 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 13%
8 FAN Alexandria 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
9 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
10 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 7%
11 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 92% 55% 6% -
12 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
13 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
14 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4% -
15 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
16 BENE Andrew 100% 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
17 LE Tan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40% 6%
18 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 27%
19 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 21% 1%
20 BENE Paul 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
21 WALKER Terra 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1%
22 XIE Eric 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10% 1%
23 LYON Drew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% -
24 LIAO Sirui 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
25 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17% 2%
26 OTT William 100% 95% 69% 27% 3% - -
27 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 100% 88% 34% 4% - -
28 HEANEY Sam 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
29 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 95% 70% 22% 3% -
30 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
31 ALLEN Asa 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
32 SU Ji 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
33 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
34 GOLART Dylan 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1% -
35 FANG Darcy 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
36 ZHOU Deborah 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
37 SILK Ryan 100% 96% 59% 18% 2% - -
38 LEE Angela 100% 95% 61% 19% 2% - -
39 WANG Ziyao 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
40 SMITH Connor 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
41 CHON-BAKER Hayden 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
42 BORGESON Abigail 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
43 TERRELL Mason 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% - -
44 WATTS Liam 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
45 HUANG Anni 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
46 KINARD Alexander 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
47 KEESEE Devon 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
47 TUSING Isabel 100% 85% 17% 1% - - -
47 EVELYN Wyatt 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.