2025 Minnesota State High School Championship

Men's Foil

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Myers Fieldhouse Mankato State - Rochester, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
3 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
4 RUBY Asher 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
5 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
6 HENKELMAN Grayson 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
8 DIFRANK Tae 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
9 IBARRA Alejandro 100% 100% 94% 61% 9%
10 GLOVER George 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
11 LINEBERRY Caden 100% 100% 93% 67% 24%
12 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
13 DING Zilin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 18%
14 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 98% 77% 34% 5%
15 NEELIMANDHU Sahil 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
16 ZINSER James 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
17 MARTIN Wesley 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
18 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 98% 83% 41% 7%
19 AHNEMANN Leif 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
20 HASHMI Mushaf 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
21 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 19%
22 JARCHO Beckett 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 20%
23 HOKANSON Braddock 100% 96% 71% 21% 1%
24 BASTODKAR Ved 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
25 YANG Haopeng 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
26 BURCHILL Carter 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
28 FADLIA Murad 100% 100% 97% 76% 23% 2%
29 FEEHAN Conor 100% 98% 81% 41% 8% -
30 KRUEGER Benjamin 100% 86% 47% 12% 1%
31 DRAWZ Chase 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% -
32 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 62% 16% 2% -
33 BALDERES Gavin 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
34 SUNDSBAK Evan 100% 79% 34% 6% -
35 BOMGARDNER Ben 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
36 HUANG Kai 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
37 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% -
38 DAVIS Jace 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% -
39 YATES Graeme 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
40 FERRARA Asher 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
41 ROY Griffin 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
42 PEICHEL Joshua 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
43 CRUZ Cole 100% 61% 15% 1% -
44 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 1%
45 KIM Ethen 100% 83% 40% 9% 1%
46 BELL Andrew 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
47 MOGENSEN Ezra 100% 98% 78% 37% 7% -
48 UNGLAUB Maxwell 100% 83% 38% 6% - -
49 CASEY Liam 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% -
50 PETERSON Quinn 100% 85% 45% 12% 1%
51 ANDERSON Norse 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
52 ZERR Daemin 100% 95% 65% 24% 3% -
53 ZHANG Alexander 100% 98% 83% 41% 6%
54 FANG Ethan 100% 72% 21% 2% -
56 WOODS Jarek 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
57 BERCHENKO Zachary 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
58 MOORE Angus 100% 82% 37% 5% - -
59 CHANEY Dhru 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6% -
60 WINTERS Linus 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
62 BEDARD Bennett 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
63 SKIBELL Cyrus 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
64 BLUMHARDT Evan 100% 63% 20% 3% -
66 TUEL Jude 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
73 AHRENS Declan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1%
74 WEED Matthew 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
74 CARDIN Harvey 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
76 LIMKE Sean 100% 60% 16% 2% -
77 PERRY Eli 100% 75% 28% 4% - -
78 NARASIMHA Krishna 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.