2025 Minnesota State High School Championship

Men's Foil

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Myers Fieldhouse Mankato State - Rochester, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOWLAND Jonas - - - - 5% 95%
2 LOCKWOOD Jacob - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
3 TAN Xinlai - - - 1% 16% 83%
4 RUBY Asher 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
5 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 8% 37% 54%
6 HENKELMAN Grayson - 2% 15% 43% 41%
7 NAIDL Josiah - - - 5% 37% 57%
8 DIFRANK Tae - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
9 IBARRA Alejandro - 6% 33% 52% 9%
10 GLOVER George - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
11 LINEBERRY Caden - 6% 26% 43% 24%
12 BERSCHEID Arthur - - 2% 22% 76%
13 DING Zilin - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 18%
14 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 2% 21% 43% 29% 5%
15 NEELIMANDHU Sahil 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
16 ZINSER James - 4% 20% 43% 32%
17 MARTIN Wesley 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
18 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 2% 15% 42% 34% 7%
19 AHNEMANN Leif 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
20 HASHMI Mushaf - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
21 MENASCO Juliun - - 6% 27% 48% 19%
22 JARCHO Beckett - - 3% 23% 53% 20%
23 HOKANSON Braddock 4% 25% 49% 20% 1%
24 BASTODKAR Ved 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
25 YANG Haopeng 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
26 BURCHILL Carter - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
28 FADLIA Murad - 3% 21% 53% 21% 2%
29 FEEHAN Conor 2% 17% 40% 33% 8% -
30 KRUEGER Benjamin 14% 39% 35% 11% 1%
31 DRAWZ Chase 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% -
32 POLYZOIS Alkis 38% 46% 14% 2% -
33 BALDERES Gavin 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
34 SUNDSBAK Evan 21% 45% 27% 6% -
35 BOMGARDNER Ben 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
36 HUANG Kai 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
37 CHRISTENSEN Jack 3% 17% 37% 33% 10% -
38 DAVIS Jace 2% 17% 37% 33% 11% -
39 YATES Graeme 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
40 FERRARA Asher 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
41 ROY Griffin 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1%
42 PEICHEL Joshua 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
43 CRUZ Cole 39% 46% 14% 1% -
44 STELLPFLUG Zachary - 5% 22% 42% 30% 1%
45 KIM Ethen 17% 43% 31% 8% 1%
46 BELL Andrew 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
47 MOGENSEN Ezra 2% 19% 42% 30% 6% -
48 UNGLAUB Maxwell 17% 45% 32% 6% - -
49 CASEY Liam 2% 19% 41% 31% 7% -
50 PETERSON Quinn 15% 40% 33% 11% 1%
51 ANDERSON Norse 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
52 ZERR Daemin 5% 30% 41% 20% 3% -
53 ZHANG Alexander 2% 16% 41% 35% 6%
54 FANG Ethan 28% 51% 19% 2% -
56 WOODS Jarek 2% 16% 39% 33% 9%
57 BERCHENKO Zachary 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
58 MOORE Angus 18% 45% 32% 5% - -
59 CHANEY Dhru - 4% 21% 40% 28% 5% -
60 WINTERS Linus 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
62 BEDARD Bennett 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
63 SKIBELL Cyrus 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
64 BLUMHARDT Evan 37% 44% 17% 3% -
66 TUEL Jude 1% 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
73 AHRENS Declan 26% 43% 25% 6% 1%
74 WEED Matthew 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
74 CARDIN Harvey 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
76 LIMKE Sean 40% 44% 14% 2% -
77 PERRY Eli 25% 47% 24% 3% - -
78 NARASIMHA Krishna 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.