2025 Minnesota State High School Championship

Men's Foil

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Myers Fieldhouse Mankato State - Rochester, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOWLAND Jonas - - - - 5% 95%
2 LOCKWOOD Jacob - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
3 TAN Xinlai - - - 1% 16% 83%
4 RUBY Asher 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
5 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 8% 37% 54%
6 HENKELMAN Grayson - 2% 15% 43% 40%
7 NAIDL Josiah - - - 5% 37% 57%
8 DIFRANK Tae - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
9 IBARRA Alejandro - 6% 33% 52% 9%
10 GLOVER George - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
11 LINEBERRY Caden - 6% 26% 43% 24%
12 BERSCHEID Arthur - - 2% 22% 76%
13 DING Zilin - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 18%
14 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 2% 20% 43% 29% 6%
15 NEELIMANDHU Sahil 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
16 ZINSER James - 4% 20% 43% 33%
17 MARTIN Wesley 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
18 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 2% 15% 42% 34% 7%
19 AHNEMANN Leif 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
20 HASHMI Mushaf - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
21 MENASCO Juliun - - 6% 27% 48% 19%
22 JARCHO Beckett - - 3% 23% 53% 20%
23 HOKANSON Braddock 4% 25% 49% 20% 1%
24 BASTODKAR Ved 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
25 YANG Haopeng 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
26 BURCHILL Carter - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
27 SZNEWAJS Ben Missing ID
28 FADLIA Murad - 3% 21% 53% 21% 2%
29 FEEHAN Conor 2% 17% 41% 33% 8% -
30 KRUEGER Benjamin 14% 40% 35% 11% 1%
31 DRAWZ Chase 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% -
32 POLYZOIS Alkis 38% 46% 14% 2% -
33 BALDERES Gavin 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
34 SUNDSBAK Evan 21% 45% 27% 6% -
35 BOMGARDNER Ben 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
36 HUANG Kai 3% 18% 40% 32% 8%
37 CHRISTENSEN Jack 3% 17% 38% 33% 9% -
38 DAVIS Jace 2% 17% 37% 33% 11% -
39 YATES Graeme 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
40 FERRARA Asher 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
41 ROY Griffin 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1%
42 PEICHEL Joshua 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
43 CRUZ Cole 39% 46% 14% 1% -
44 STELLPFLUG Zachary - 4% 20% 42% 32% 1%
45 KIM Ethen 17% 43% 31% 8% 1%
46 BELL Andrew 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
47 MOGENSEN Ezra 2% 19% 42% 30% 6% -
48 UNGLAUB Maxwell 17% 45% 32% 6% - -
49 CASEY Liam 2% 19% 41% 31% 7% -
50 PETERSON Quinn 15% 40% 33% 11% 1%
51 ANDERSON Norse 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
52 ZERR Daemin 5% 30% 41% 20% 3% -
53 ZHANG Alexander 2% 16% 41% 35% 6%
54 FANG Ethan 28% 51% 19% 2% -
55 INWARDS Levi Missing ID
56 WOODS Jarek 2% 16% 39% 33% 9%
57 BERCHENKO Zachary 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
58 MOORE Angus 18% 45% 32% 5% - -
59 CHANEY Dhru - 4% 21% 40% 28% 5% -
60 WINTERS Linus 55% 35% 8% 1% - -
61 DILLON Jack Missing ID
62 BEDARD Bennett 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
63 SKIBELL Cyrus 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
64 BLUMHARDT Evan 37% 44% 17% 3% -
65 KIANI Adam Missing ID
66 TUEL Jude 1% 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
67 KEHOE Jack Missing ID
68 PEDERSON Owen Missing ID
69 KEEL Ronan Missing ID
70 BAHADUR Aaryan Missing ID
71 FERGUSON Thomas Missing ID
72 KHARBANDA Arjun Missing ID
73 AHRENS Declan 26% 43% 25% 6% 1%
74 WEED Matthew 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
74 CARDIN Harvey 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
76 LIMKE Sean 40% 44% 14% 2% -
77 PERRY Eli 25% 47% 24% 3% - -
78 NARASIMHA Krishna 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.